HODL与交易 揭示比特币财富积累的逻辑
“炒”者，交易也。“囤”者，HODL也。HODL，乃HOLD之拼写错误，遂将错就错，渐成一种文化模因。持有不动，稳稳拿住，就是HODL。
市场中常常充斥着致富的各种神话。交易致富的故事，尤其为人们所津津乐道。
但是在BTC这事上，深入思考其中的逻辑，就会知道，交易者，终究是战胜不了囤积者的。
我们所考察的，乃是交易者和囤积者两个整体，而不是具体的某个交易者。具体的一个交易者，当然可以通过在交易者内部的通过割与被割所造成的再分配，而迅速聚集大量财富。
但是，和美国总统林肯的名言有点儿类似的是，你可以在某一段时间战胜所有人，也可以在永远战胜一个人，但你不可能永远战胜所有人。
一时声名大噪的交易高手常有，迅速滑入尘埃者众，而久年不衰者鲜有所闻。
交易者总体上只在所谓场内掠取价值。
囤积者则通过场外的种种行为获取价值，然后转入场内，转化为对BTC的增持。
囤积者获取场外价值的办法只能是给他人创造价值，即满足他人的需求。比如囤积者的主业是卖馒头，那么他就通过给别人提供馒头，而获得了一定的收入。
交易者不靠场外收入来增加囤积。也因此，在场外，交易者是需求方，而不是服务方。
囤积者把馒头卖给交易者，交易者支付对价给囤积者。囤积者把买馒头赚来的收入转换为BTC，从而增加其BTC仓位。
像馒头这样的场外经济循环路径非常非常多。所有路径的唯一方向，都是最终导致BTC从交易者手中流向囤积者手中。
只要交易者一天需要吃饭、穿衣、出行，就一天不能阻止BTC从其手中流动到囤积者手中。
在法币体系中，交易者（投机者）的破解之术是和印钞机绑定，他们摇身一变成了热衷资本运作的企业家，在一级市场击鼓传花的风投，攀关系走后门炒概念吹估值的创业者，万法归宗就是一条，让印钞机源源不断地印钞给自己花。储蓄者（囤积者）蒸馒头就是蒸到死，也不可能赚得完印钞机无限量供应的钞票。
在自带这种不公平buff的体系里，交易者（投机者）总是战胜囤积者（储蓄者）。不劳而获远胜于辛勤劳动。
反观BTC这样不被交易者掌握印钞机的可蓄积物，囤积者（储蓄者）便总是能够打败交易者（投机者）。
不事生产者，总是要舍弃其BTC，交给生产者，以换取后者手中掌握的产物（比如，馒头）。
交易者手中的BTC，也就必然源源不断地流向囤积者。
除非，囤积者被忽悠去做交易，在场内输掉了他手里的BTC。
否则，长期看来，囤积者必定战胜交易者。
一言以蔽之，炒不如囤。
Speculators and hoarders also make spelling mistakes, so they gradually become a cultural meme. Holding firmly is the myth that the market is often full of getting rich. The story of getting rich is especially talked about by people, but if we think deeply about the logic in this matter, we will know that traders can't defeat hoarders after all. We are looking at traders and hoarders as a whole, not a specific trader. Of course, a specific trader can pass through the trader. The division of the Ministry quickly gathers a lot of wealth through the redistribution caused by the division, but it is somewhat similar to the famous saying of American President Lincoln that you can beat everyone in a certain period of time or beat one person forever, but you can't beat everyone forever. The famous traders often slip into the dust quickly, while the long-lasting traders rarely hear about it. On the whole, traders only grab value on the so-called floor, while hoarders gain value through various behaviors off the floor and then turn to the floor. For example, a hoarder's main business is to sell steamed bread, so he gets a certain income. Traders do not rely on off-site income to increase hoarding, so the off-site trader is the demand side rather than the service side. The hoarder sells steamed bread to the trader, paying the price to the hoarder, and the hoarder converts the income earned from buying steamed bread into a position like steamed bread. There are many kinds of off-exchange economic circulation paths, and the only direction of all paths is to eventually lead to the flow from traders to hoarders. As long as traders need to eat, dress and travel one day, they can't stop the flow from their hands to hoarders. In the legal tender system, traders and speculators' solution is to bind with the printing machine, and they have become entrepreneurs who are keen on capital operation. In the primary market, venture capitalists in pass the parcel climb the relationship, go through the back door and speculate on the concept, and entrepreneurs who blow the valuation will return to the motherland. It is an unfair system that allows the printing machine to continuously print money for itself. The hoarder can always beat the trader, the hoarder and the saver who does not master the printing machine can always beat the trader, the speculator and the producer who does not care always give it up to the producer in exchange for the latter's hands. The products mastered, such as those in the hands of steamed bread traders, will inevitably flow to hoarders. Unless the hoarder is tricked into making a transaction and loses what he has in the market, in the long run, the hoarder will surely defeat the traders. In a word, it is better to speculate than to hoard. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台
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