比特币兑美元价格（BTCUSD）的多空转换

我们先来回顾一下我们之前关于btc的空头分析，我们在6月21日发表了以下分析。

Let us begin by recalling our previous blank analysis of btc, which we published on 21 June.

一号区域压力非常强，已经多次展现强大的压力。

Area 1 is under very strong pressure and has demonstrated strong pressure on many occasions.

二号区域就很有意思了，短空出货后，短多接力短线快速拉了上去，但是又被上方的卖盘挡住了。

Area two is interesting. After the short drop, the short relay line quickly pulls up, but it's blocked by the sale plate above.

三号区域是这一波多头开始的地方，也是前方收敛三角形的中线所在区，这个地方是之前交易最密集的区域，所以即使价格打下来快速破掉这个区的可能性也不大。

Area 3 was the beginning of the wave and the centre line of the triangle, which was the most heavily traded area in the past, so it was unlikely that even prices would break down quickly.

这一波行情向下走的力度将透露机构的的主要思路，我们到现在好不能确定机构的主要意图，所以这一波向下十分关键，当然如果向上突破上方一号区域，大底部确认无疑。

The intensity of this wave will reveal the main thinking of the institution, and it is not possible to determine the main intentions of the institution until now, so it is critical that the wave be down, and, of course, if we go up to the upper part of Area One, there is no doubt that the big bottom is confirmed.

在行情来到2号区域后我们选择减仓三分之一。

We've chosen to reduce it by one third after we've come to Area 2.

出现图中的量价关系后我们选择全部离场

We've decided to leave after the amount of money in the map.

我在来分析下BTCUSD的未来走势，在底部放量大阳线拉起或将酝酿多头。

I'm here to analyze the future direction of BTCUSD, to put a large radiance at the bottom or to develop multiple headlines.

BTC终于在底部走出了带量实体饱满大阳线，这也让现货交易者看到了一丝机会。

The BTC finally got out of the bottom of the belt entity full of the sun, which also gave spot traders a glimmer of opportunity.

价格在触及二号区域后出现明显滞涨消耗信号，明显只是受2号区域供给影响，多头乐于看到这种消耗。

The price, after touching Area II, showed a clear sign of stagnating consumption, clearly influenced only by the supply of Area 2, which many would be happy to see.

等到行情回调到一号这一行情启动的区域。

Wait until you get back to the area where the line number one is started.

回调阶段如果无量，而且到达区域出现多头信号（带量更好），这才迎来了多头的曙光！

It's the dawn of many dawns when the rewinding phase is empty and multiple signals (better) arrive in the region!

BTC 正在酝酿底部而不是已经形成底部。

最后给大家讲一个故事：

concludes with a story:

1.2008金融危机那年9月，他斥资50乙美元以123美元/股买入高X的股票，当年高X的股票从220美元/股一路跌下来。巴菲特进场之后，高X股票没有立刻起飞，反而继续大跌到50美元/股以下。当时巴菲特进场之后，市场一片哗然，认为巴菲特犯了极大的错误。然而事实证明，巴菲特正是按照市场行为操作的。到了193美元/股。

1. In September 2008, after the 2008 financial crisis, he spent $50 b to buy high-X shares at $123/equity, falling from $220/equity to $220/equity. When Barfitt entered, he did not take off immediately, but continued to fall below $50/equity. When Barfitt entered the market, the market swollen and thought that Buffett had made a terrible mistake. However, it proved that Buffett had acted exactly as the market.

2. 2016年1月买入飞利X（石油股），此时国际石油市场正处于熊市。他1月买入，在2月市场继续崩跌，之后价格开始起飞，到2016年3月，他已经产生了每股10美元的利润（他拥有近7400万股飞利X石油）

2. In January 2016, when the international oil market was in the bear market, he bought it in January, the market continued to collapse in February, the price began to take off, and by March 2016 he had generated a profit of $10 per share (he owns nearly 74 million flying X oil).

因此，我们可以知道几件事

♪ so we can know a few things ♪ ♪ strong ♪ ♪ so we can know a few things ♪ ♪ strong ♪

（1）深谙投资之道，并获取极大成功的人他们并不认为自己可以买最低点，卖在最高点;而几乎所有醉心于此的人最后都如同绚烂的烟花一般...砰！好美?

(1) People who know how to invest and have great success do not think they can buy the lowest and sell the highest; and almost all of those who are so intoxicated end up like rotten fireworks... boom! How beautiful?

（2）趋势的反转必然有其“过程”，你永远不该认为自己可以比市场更早知道哪里是转折，这会是致命的想法。不论你的技术有多牛...许多的案例，实例。 甚至 如果你们留心在这里 有一些正在发生的事...然而结果自然不证自明。

(2) The reversal of trends necessarily has its “process”, and you should never think that you can know where to turn sooner than the market, which is a fatal idea. No matter how good your technology is... many cases, examples, even if you're looking at what's happening here... but the results are not clear.

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