Solana 价格或将在三月达到200美元的三个原因
作者：Yashu Gola，cointelegraph 翻译：善欧巴，比特币买卖交易网
根据技术和基本面指标来看，Solana 价格在3月之前可能迎来一波大幅上涨。
SOL 价格可能突破“牛旗”
截至 1 月 18 日，SOL 的价格正在测试牛旗形态的上部趋势线。
牛市旗形是看涨的持续模式，其特征是价格在强劲的上行走势（旗杆）后在向下倾斜的通道（旗形）内移动。它们通常在价格突破通道上部趋势线并上涨至旗杆高度后解决。
因此，Solana 预计到 3 月份突破旗形上方趋势线，达到 194 美元，较当前价格水平上涨约 80%。
相反，从上趋势线回调可能会使 SOL 的价格下跌至接近 80 美元的下趋势线。
尽管如此，加密货币可能会在 87 美元附近的 50 天指数移动平均线（50 天 EMA；红色波浪）处出现一些积累和横向价格走势，该区域一直是长期支撑区域。留在旗形范围内将保持突破的可能性完好无损。
Solana ETF 热议
这1 月 11 日比特币现货 ETF 获得批准，引发了业界对包括 Solana 在内的其他加密货币未来也能获得现货 ETF 的希望。
富兰克林邓普顿是一家价值数万亿美元的资产管理公司，在赞扬区块链在去中心化金融、基础设施、不可替代代币创新和memecoin方面的进步后，进一步推动了 Solana ETF 的热潮。该公司已经提供同名现货比特币 ETF 产品，股票代码为（EZBC）。
对现货 Solana ETF 的预期可能会促进 SOL 价格飙升，类似于比特币的上涨在其 ETF 获批之前经历过。
美联储降息预期
对美联储鸽派的预期可能会在未来几个月进一步推高 Solana 价格。
CME 的美联储期货基金利率预测认为，到 2024 年 3 月，美国降息 25 个基点的可能性为 59.5%。
随着以美元计价的资产收益率下降，较低的利率可能导致美元走弱。像 Solana 这样的加密货币通常以美元定价，随着美元走弱，其价值可能会增加。
美元指数（DXY）的技术设置表明未来几天将出现抛售期。值得注意的是，自2023年12月以来，它一直在形成上升楔形模式，其下行目标在101.50至102.25之间，具体取决于突破点，如下图所示。
因此，Solana 与美元的持续负相关性也应该会增加 SOL 在 3 月份大幅上涨的可能性。
According to the technical and fundamental indicators, the price may usher in a wave of sharp rise before the month, and the price may break through the bull flag as of the month. The upper trend line of the bull flag shape is being tested. The bull flag shape is a bullish continuous mode, which is characterized by the price moving in the downward sloping channel flag shape after the strong upward trend flagpole. They are usually solved after the price breaks through the upper trend line of the channel and rises to the height of the flagpole, so it is expected to break through the flag in the month. The trend line at the top of the dollar is about the opposite of the current price level, and the callback from the upper trend line may make the price fall to the lower trend line close to the dollar. Nevertheless, cryptocurrency may have some accumulation and horizontal price trend at the sky-red wave of the daily index moving average near the dollar. This region has always been a long-term support area, and the possibility of staying in the flag-shaped range will remain intact. The approval of bitcoin spot on this month triggered a heated discussion among the industry. The hope that cryptocurrency can also get the spot in the future Franklin Templeton is an asset management company worth trillions of dollars, which has further promoted the upsurge after praising the blockchain's innovation and progress in decentralized financial infrastructure irreplaceable tokens. The company has provided the spot bitcoin product with the same name with the stock code as the expectation of spot, which may promote the price to soar, similar to the rise of bitcoin. Before its approval, it experienced the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, and the expectation of the Fed's doves can be The interest rate forecast of the Federal Reserve Futures Fund, which will further push up the price in the next few months, thinks that the possibility of interest rate cuts in the United States by basis points in September is that with the decline of the return on assets denominated in dollars, the lower interest rate may lead to the weakening of the dollar. Cryptographic currencies like this are usually priced in dollars, and their value may increase with the weakening of the dollar. The technical setup of the dollar index shows that there will be a sell-off period in the next few days. It is worth noting that it has been forming a rising wedge model since September, and its downward target depends on the breakthrough point, as shown in the following figure, so the possibility of a sustained negative correlation with the dollar should 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台
注册有任何问题请添加 微信：MVIP619 拉你进入群
打开微信扫一扫
添加客服
进入交流群
1.本站遵循行业规范，任何转载的稿件都会明确标注作者和来源；2.本站的原创文章，请转载时务必注明文章作者和来源，不尊重原创的行为我们将追究责任；3.作者投稿可能会经我们编辑修改或补充。
