比特币生态的新变量 BRC20 是否会重塑减半叙事？

With the adoption of spot bitcoin, the most important narrative of the encrypted world is undoubtedly the fourth halving of bitcoin, which is expected to be on June, when the block reward will be reduced from one of the most important narratives in the encryption industry. The halving of bitcoin has always been a good medicine to boost market confidence. Will this halving cycle have the same rhyme as before? What unexpected impact will the new variables of bitcoin ecology have on Moore's Law? Mining on a unit chip in recent decades is mentioned. Under the control of Moore's Law, the growth and change chart of the number of tubes is a horrible growth trend that can be seen by the naked eye. It is mapped to the field of mining machines such as bitcoin mining chips. In the past ten years, bitcoin mining has entered the room, and the pursuit of the beauty of computing power has been stimulated by bitcoin and other currencies. The mining hardware has undergone an evolution from time to time, and the chip manufacturing process has gradually approached the ceiling from hundreds of nanometers to dozens of nanometers, and now it is even smaller. Further down, it will involve the quantum field. Capital in the circle has always liked to gamble and reduce collectively. This is the bear-cow cycle of the semi-event from to. The mining field of Bitcoin is based on this positive momentum. The increasing computing power, the upcoming reward of new hardware and other factors will determine the overall growth of the industry and Bitcoin. This is even more true now. According to the data of yesterday's month, the difficulty of bitcoin mining ushered in the height of the block, and the difficulty of mining was adjusted to a record high. At present, the average computing power of the whole network has also been increased since September. Now we are at the waist of the new round of halving cycle, and there is still a window of two years before the next bitcoin. This may also be the exquisite design of the bitcoin halving event witnessed and experienced by most practitioners and investors for the first time or the second time in this round, which is bound to impress everyone. The historical cycle of halving is indeed a great event for the encryption industry, especially the first two halving cycles of Bitcoin have appeared dozens of times. In the short term, after the increase was halved twice, it was accompanied by a short-term decline, but then it went out of the long-term rising market after the adjustment was completed. However, the third halving began in 2006, because the number of employees in the industry, the market attention and the perfection of supporting infrastructure have improved significantly compared with before. Bitcoin is no longer limited to the niche products in the geek circle, and it has started to be linked with more external factors. Simply sum up, before the first halving, geeks in the circle were more concerned about Bitcoin as an electronic phenomenon. The possibility of gold In the second halving cycle, the focus on Bitcoin changed to its nature as a payment tool, which also triggered a series of debates. The subsequent bifurcation was almost the top flow in the circle. In the third halving cycle, Bitcoin has become an alternative asset, and the layout of traditional institutions and capital began to become the main theme. Therefore, compared with the previous two halving cycles, the third halving of Bitcoin was unprecedented. At the same time, the overall political and economic environment of the world also affected it when Bitcoin was halved for the third time. It is manifested in the influence of macro factors. On the first day of next month, bitcoin started to fall from the US dollar all the way down, and then it broke the lowest support point all the way down. On the whole, it found that the overall market value of the US dollar evaporated in a short time, and the price was halved by more than 100 million yuan. However, after the month was halved, a new bull market cycle was launched in midsummer, and bitcoin also went straight to 10,000 US dollars, which was nearly doubled compared with the lowest point before halving. Generally speaking, according to the law of historical halving cycle. From the traditional point of view, when bitcoin is halved, the price will return to half of the price of the last bull market, that is, by May, the price of bitcoin may be around US dollars, and after halving, it is very likely to start a new bull market cycle. Today's volume may be difficult to achieve more than twice the increase, but it is still worth looking forward to the new variable of bitcoin ecology, but at the same time, bitcoin has been halved three times and the number of blocks has been reduced to 10,000 In the above background, in fact, it is time for many situations and things to be reconsidered from a new perspective, especially in this round of bitcoin halving. Compared with the previous halving, there have been some new variables worthy of attention in the whole industry and bitcoin itself. We can briefly understand the basic knowledge of bitcoin halving. The mechanism design of bitcoin determines that the role of miners is extremely important, and the current income of miners is the cornerstone to maintain the trading operation of the whole system. It mainly comes from two parts: the block reward and the handling fee. The block reward started as a bitcoin rule, and it has been halved once every four years. At present, it has been halved three times. It will be halved next time, and it will continue to be reduced until, and there will be no block reward in bitcoin, but the handling fee will always exist in Monroe coin mentioned at the beginning of the article. This is the case, so the income of miners will become very simple in the future, only the handling fee reward. In fact, the handling fee income of bitcoin miners has exceeded the block award at present. Encouragement has become the core of income, so it also means that the role of miners will always exist, but the income model will be completely changed. As the block reward gradually decreases until it approaches zero, the importance of handling fees will become higher and higher until it finally becomes the only source of income. This is one of the reasons why miners cling to large blocks. The bigger the block, the more transactions they can package at the same time, the more handling fees they will have. Although logically, they can make up for the loss of block reward by raising the handling fees like a seesaw, they can. The high renewal fee is not conducive to the promotion and use of Bitcoin. Miners can't maintain the value of the network without enough benefits to encourage users to use the network to create value. The feedback fine-tuning of Bitcoin's entire economic system has always been in such an uninterrupted contradiction, but it has always been able to achieve the variables brought about by dynamic equilibrium through the full game of all parties. Since the year, Bitcoin ecology, especially the prosperity, has set off a new wave, and the activity of internal transactions in Bitcoin ecology has reached a new peak. In this context, the surge of fee income for boosting Bitcoin, especially the innovation of agreements and other leading projects, has deeply affected the rate model of Bitcoin network. The most direct thing is to completely change the economic model and incentive model of Bitcoin. The latest data shows that the cumulative cost of inscription casting as of March exceeds US$ 100 million, of which the mining fee income on March has reached a new high of about US$ 10,000 in recent years, accounting for more than half of the miners' total income that day, while the historical average data of miners' fee income often accounts for only about 30%, while the average data in the past three months has reached a record high. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

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