我是币圈的一支投枪_虚拟币交易所平台,数字货币,NFT

隔夜市场波澜不惊，低位前行。大饼（BTC）的跌势开始趋缓。跌势趋缓，那仍是下跌。就像拜登总统说美国通胀数据涨势趋缓，那仍是上涨一般。

PlanB同学在年底预测失利后，还在翘首盼望着奇迹的发生。不熟悉情况的读者可以先温习一下两个多月前10月15号的文章《年底没有下半场》中对PlanB所谓地板模型的祛魅。隔夜，应该大概是今天凌晨光景，PlanB又在推特上说：

\"Bitcoin needs a small miracle for a 100K Christmas. Will I ditch S2F model if this does not happen? Nah, I actually like being at the lower bands. In fact I published the model at the lower bands in March 2019 with btc below 4K.\"

“需要一个圣诞节10万美元的小奇迹。如果这没有发生，我会放弃S2F模型吗？不，我实际上喜欢低价区间。事实上，2019年3月我在低价区间发布了该模型，当时价格低于4千美元。”

我默默算了一下。今天19号，圣诞节25号，满打满算加起来总共还有7天。现在大饼不到4万7，要到10万，还差5万3，需要翻个倍还得再多一点儿。按每日复利增长，从47k到100k，仅需要每天上涨11.39%、连续上涨7天即可完成。

没有写程序做严谨的回测，我只是随手翻了一下过去一两年的K线。大饼连涨7天的情况应该不是没有过，但是连续7天每天都超过11%的涨幅，好像还真的没找到。

天亮的脚步声也许真的是越来越近了。519那次中场大崩溃，也不过才持续了11周。这次年底大溃败，已经持续了5周多。不过，溃败反弹不是抛物线，最黑的夜，在黎明之前。

市场的情绪开始慢慢起来了。看熊的人和声音多了起来。

当初10月中在《年底没有下半场》下面留言谩骂的人，被牛市的浮躁迷乱了心智，代表了市场拒绝看空的情绪。辱骂的烈度越高，辱骂文章的人数越多，说明市场的情绪越到位。拒绝看空的情绪到位了，主力就该收割了。

现在，谩骂者的素质依然如故，代表的方向却发生了逆转。在《年底没有下半场》应验之后，市场看熊之时，12/18号我又写了《牛市仍在中场》。这次保持看多，仍然有人开骂。没有其他原因，不过是拒绝看多的情绪而已。只不过，这次骂的人数和烈度比上面要低得多，说明市场可能还需要再磨一磨，情绪也要再酝酿酝酿。当然，我是乐见月底前情绪到位，逆风翻转。但我并不会执著于此、焦虑于此。

人是新的好，酒是陈的香。肆无忌惮的满口喷粪，说明我们不熟嘛。不熟，说明这些又是一波新人嘛。人这种动物，很残忍的。如果没得感情在，又隐身在网络昵称的面具后面，就往往能够肆无忌惮地做出一切凶残和卑劣的事情。破口大骂，简直是所有凶残与卑劣中最温和、危害性最小的一种了。

我是币圈的一支投枪。把牛鬼蛇神，穿胸破腹；魑魅魍魉，涂脑裂髓。

要做到这一点，其实非常简单。方法就是：尊重市场，兢兢业业，认真研究，只说真话，尽量保证文章的真实性、正确性。文章愈是正确，谩骂者就愈是错误。而非理性的谩骂，又会反过来强化谩骂者的心理锚定，愈发坚持其错误。谩骂者错误，市场就会让他亏损。谩骂者愈发坚持其错误，市场就会让他亏损的愈发厉害。谩骂者死不悔悟，市场就会让他亏损到破产为止。

牛鬼蛇神，莫若反指。

就像当初在10月15号《年底没有下半场》下面出言不逊者，不听风险警告，甚至在11月初假突破时高位追进者，被年底这段时间以来的暴跌杀了个措手不及吧。现在，看到12月18号《牛市仍在中场》，还是看熊瞎喷，骂骂咧咧者，估计是已经低位割肉认输了。那么，当牛市继续，向上突破通道之后，又肯定会完美错过上涨，悔恨莫及而追高的吧。

金融市场是那么的冷酷无情，却又是另一种方式的温情脉脉。没有对待敌人像严冬一样的冷酷无情，何来对待同志如春天一般的温暖呢？

这正是：善恶到头终有报，只争来早与来迟。

(公众号：刘教链。星球：公众号回复“星球”)
(免责声明：本文内容均不构成任何投资建议。加密货币为极高风险品种，有随时归零的风险，请谨慎参与，自我负责。)

Overnight, the market was calm and low, and the decline of the pie began to slow down, which was still a decline. Just as President Biden said that the inflation data in the United States slowed down, it was still rising. Ordinary students were still looking forward to the miracle after predicting the loss at the end of the year. Readers who are unfamiliar with the situation can review the article on the February issue more than two months ago. There was no disenchantment with the so-called floor model in the second half at the end of the year. It should be about early this morning overnight, and they said on Twitter that they needed a Christmas miracle of 10,000 dollars. If this hadn't happened, would I have given up the model? No, I actually like the low-price range. In fact, I released the model in the low-price range in June, when the price was less than 1,000 dollars. I silently calculated that today's Christmas date was at the very most, adding up to a total of days. Now the pie is less than 10,000 yuan, but it still needs to be doubled, and it needs to increase by daily compound interest. It only needs to rise every day and it can be completed in a row. I just flipped through the past one without writing a program. Two years' continuous rise in the sky should not be unheard of, but the increase every day seems to have really failed to find the footsteps of dawn. Perhaps it is really getting closer and closer. The midfield crash only lasted for weeks. At the end of this year, the rout has lasted for more than a week, but the rout rebound is not the darkest night of parabola. Before dawn, the mood of the market began to slowly rise, and the number of people watching bears and voices increased. At the beginning, there was no message and abuse at the end of the second half in the middle of the month. The impetuous and confused mind represents the market's mood of refusing to be bearish. The higher the intensity of abuse, the more people abuse articles, which means that the market's mood is in place and the mood of refusing to be bearish is in place. Now the main force should be harvested. Now the quality of the scolders remains the same, but the direction represented has reversed. After the second half of the year is not fulfilled, the market is watching the bear's time. I wrote that the bull market is still in the midfield. There is still no other reason for this, but this time it is just the mood of refusing to watch more. The number and intensity of people are much lower than the above, which means that the market may need to be grinded again, and the mood should be brewed again. Of course, I am happy to see the mood in place before the end of the month, but I will not be obsessed with it. This person is a new good wine and Chen Xiang's unscrupulous mouth-watering, which means that we are not familiar with it. Unfamiliar means that these people are a new wave of people. This animal is cruel. If you don't have feelings and hide behind the mask of online nicknames, you can often do all kinds of cruelty and inferiority without fear. Bad things swearing is simply the mildest and least harmful of all cruelty and meanness. I am a spear in the currency circle, and I will stab the ghosts and monsters in the chest and abdomen. The way to do this is actually very simple. I respect the market, study conscientiously and only tell the truth to ensure the authenticity and correctness of the article as much as possible. The more correct the article is, the more irrational the abuse will be. The psychological anchor of the scolding person will persist in its mistakes. The scolding person will insist on it more and more. The market will make him lose money. The more the accuser insists on his wrong market, the more he will lose money. The market will make him lose money until he goes bankrupt. Just like there was no second half at the end of the month, the rude people didn't listen to the risk warning, and even the high pursuers were caught off guard by the plunge since the end of the year. Now, seeing that the bull market is still in the middle of the month or watching the bears blindly spit and swear, it is estimated that they have cut their meat at a low level. Admit defeat, then when the bull market continues to break through the channel, it will definitely miss the rise perfectly. It is too late to regret and chase after the high. The financial market is so ruthless but it is another way of warmth. If you don't treat the enemy as ruthless as winter, how can you treat your comrades as warm as spring? This is exactly what good and evil will be rewarded in the end. WeChat official account Liu Jiao Chain Planet WeChat official account replies to the planet disclaimer. The contents of this article do not constitute any investment advice. Cryptographic currency is a very high-risk variety, and there is a risk of zero at any time. Please be careful to participate in self-responsibility 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

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