大聪明原理——论BTC近日价格波动

币圈资讯 阅读:62 2024-05-05 18:36:42 评论:0
美化布局示例

欧易(OKX)最新版本

【遇到注册下载问题请加文章最下面的客服微信】永久享受返佣20%手续费!

APP下载   全球官网 大陆官网

币安(Binance)最新版本

币安交易所app【遇到注册下载问题请加文章最下面的客服微信】永久享受返佣20%手续费!

APP下载   官网地址

火币HTX最新版本

火币老牌交易所【遇到注册下载问题请加文章最下面的客服微信】永久享受返佣20%手续费!

APP下载   官网地址
```html

刘教链报道:

BTC(比特币)在不到一周的时间内迅速完成了一次V形反转:从5月2日的低点56.8k开始,连续3天上涨,重返64k关口,并超过了4月30日的开盘价63k。这一反转的原因在5月3日教链内参《美国就业数据惊现冷门,BTC迅速突破6万美元大关》中有所介绍。

在当今世界,BTC的V形反转可能算得上是比较轻微的。然而,BTC的反转只是这个充满戏剧性的世界中“回旋镖”效应的最抽象体现之一。

4月30日是香港现货BTC和ETH的ETF上市的首日。空头势力毫不留情,连续两天打压,将价格从最高64.7k拉回至最低56.5k。5月1日,教链发布了《满上》文章,这是“十年之约”的第22篇实证记录。在价格回调时,教链以57824美元的价格增加了持仓。感谢那些高明的空头们,给了我们这样一个折扣。然而,这样的折扣转瞬即逝,只有在价格回调时增加持仓才能真正把握住机会。

在整个人类社会中,高智商的存在无处不在。这些天,当我驾车带着孩子们外出游玩时,我们遇到了交通拥堵。孩子们开始争论是继续走主要道路还是选择次要道路更快。他们各执一词,争论不休。

我告诉他们,你们知道有一个“高智商原理”吗?这个理论阐述了一个简单的道理:我们这个世界上最不缺乏的就是高智商,他们会竭尽全力地选择最快的路线,结果最终导致所有路线的速度几乎相同。例如,如果次要道比主要道路通行更畅通,那么高智商们就会选择次要道路,从而分流拥堵的主要道路,但也会导致次要道路同样拥堵。因此,看似积极地选择更快的路线可能并不能提高速度,实际上可能无论如何都无法更快,或者说速度都差不多。相比之下,坚持原定路线不动摇至少会更省力、更安全。

孩子们恍然大悟:难道这就是“以静制动”吗?

我对他们的理解表示赞许。为了进一步说明这一点,我举了另一个例子:在许多需要排队的场合,如果有多个办事窗口,那么高智商们会积极选择最短或最快的队伍,导致我们只需静静地排队,因为在高智商们左右横跳的同时,所有队伍的长度或速度都会被拉平。例如,如果现在有两个窗口,每个窗口前都排了一条队伍,你只需排在第一个窗口队伍的中间。这时,突然开了第三个窗口,你会选择过去吗?实际上,等待别人移动位置,你前面的人自然减少了,你无需自己挪动,就能享受到新增窗口带来的“红利”。这就是所谓的以静制动。

这一思路也可以延伸至投资。我解释道:投资市场也是如此。市场上充斥着各种不断追逐热点、频繁调仓的高智商。本来可能持有A资产,但一看B资产价格上涨,就匆忙清仓A,全仓买入B。他们自以为聪明,频繁调仓,结果可能最终一无所获。与其频繁调仓,不如坚定持有。

短期交易和杠杆交易亦然。高智商们层出不穷。一次次牛熊周期,一个个得意洋洋,他们频繁买卖、做多做空。然而,如果你仔细观察两个周期,你会发现几乎所有高智商最终都沦为了炮灰。在涨跌中,他们的仓位不断消失。

高智商们拼命努力搅动市场,但最终结果只不过是为那些坚定持有、不动摇的BTC持有者“打工”罢了。

```

Liu Jiaolian reported that Bitcoin quickly completed a shape reversal in less than a week, rising from the low point on March to the mark and exceeding the opening price on March. The reason for this reversal was introduced in the report that the US employment data in the teaching chain on March suddenly broke through the $10,000 mark. In today's world, the shape reversal may be considered to be relatively slight. However, the reversal is only one of the most abstract manifestations of the boomerang effect in this dramatic world. On the first day of listing, the short-selling forces relentlessly suppressed the price from the highest to the lowest for two consecutive days. On Sunday, the teaching chain published an article full of articles. This is the first empirical record of a decade. When the price was adjusted back, the teaching chain increased its position in US dollars. Thanks to those clever short sellers for giving us such a discount, however, such a discount is fleeting. Only by increasing the position when the price was adjusted back can we really seize the opportunity. The existence of high IQ is everywhere in the whole human society these days. When taking the children out to play, we met with traffic jams. The children began to argue whether it is faster to continue to take the main road or choose the secondary road. They argued endlessly. I told them that you know there is a principle of high IQ. This theory expounded a simple truth. What we don't lack in the world is high IQ. They will try their best to choose the fastest route, and eventually the speed of all routes will be almost the same. For example, if the secondary road is smoother than the main road, With such a high IQ, people will choose secondary roads to divert the congested main roads, but it will also lead to the same congestion of secondary roads. Therefore, it seems that actively choosing a faster route may not improve the speed. In fact, it may not be faster at all, or the speed is almost the same. By contrast, it will be more labor-saving and safer for children to suddenly realize that this is static braking. I applaud their understanding. To further illustrate this point, I gave another one. For example, in many occasions where queues are needed, if there are multiple service windows, the high IQ people will actively choose the shortest or fastest team, which leads us to wait in line quietly, because the length or speed of all teams will be leveled while the high IQ people jump left and right. For example, if there are two windows and there is a queue in front of each window, you only need to queue in the middle of the first window team, and then the third window suddenly opens, will you choose to go there and actually wait for others to move in front of you? The number of people has naturally decreased, and you can enjoy the bonus brought by the new window without moving yourself. This is the so-called idea of static braking, which can also be extended to investment. I explained that the investment market is also the same. The market is full of all kinds of high IQ people who are constantly chasing hot spots and frequently changing positions. They might have held assets, but when they saw the asset price rising, they rushed to clear their positions and bought them all. They thought they were smart and frequently changed positions, but they might end up with nothing. It is better to firmly hold short-term transactions and leveraged transactions than frequent positions. Similarly, high IQ people emerge one after another, and the bull and bear cycles are triumphant one after another. However, if you carefully observe the two cycles, you will find that almost all high IQ people eventually become cannon fodder, and their positions are disappearing in the ups and downs. High IQ people try their best to stir up the market, but the end result is just to work for those who are firm and unshakable. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

文字格式和图片示例

注册有任何问题请添加 微信:MVIP619 拉你进入群

弹窗与图片大小一致 文章转载注明 网址:https://netpsp.com/?id=63816

美化布局示例

欧易(OKX)最新版本

【遇到注册下载问题请加文章最下面的客服微信】永久享受返佣20%手续费!

APP下载   全球官网 大陆官网

币安(Binance)最新版本

币安交易所app【遇到注册下载问题请加文章最下面的客服微信】永久享受返佣20%手续费!

APP下载   官网地址

火币HTX最新版本

火币老牌交易所【遇到注册下载问题请加文章最下面的客服微信】永久享受返佣20%手续费!

APP下载   官网地址
可以去百度分享获取分享代码输入这里。
声明

1.本站遵循行业规范,任何转载的稿件都会明确标注作者和来源;2.本站的原创文章,请转载时务必注明文章作者和来源,不尊重原创的行为我们将追究责任;3.作者投稿可能会经我们编辑修改或补充。

发表评论
平台列表
美化布局示例

欧易(OKX)

  全球官网 大陆官网

币安(Binance)

  官网

火币(HTX)

  官网

Gate.io

  官网

Bitget

  官网

deepcoin

  官网
关注我们

若遇到问题,加微信客服---清歌

搜索
排行榜
扫一扫,加我为微信好友加我为微信好友