比特币减半7个月后狗狗币会暴涨吗？

Author: Zoltan Vardai, CoinTelegraph; Translator: Deng Tong, Jinse Finance Although the price of Dogecoin has dropped in the past month, historical data suggests that it may start rebounding to new highs about seven months after Bitcoin's halving. Will Dogecoin's price rise in November? The price of Dogecoin has fallen by nearly 8% on the daily chart and by more than 18% in the past month, but it remains consistent with the price trend in the previous cycle, indicating that it may move towards new historical highs. According to data from TradingView, during the last cryptocurrency bull market, Dogecoin began to rise in May 2020, seven months after Bitcoin's halving. On May 8, 2021, one year after Bitcoin's halving, Dogecoin's price reached a historic high of $0.73. It has since fallen 73% from its previous historical high. If this pattern repeats itself, Dogecoin's price will reach a new historical high in April 2025. However, technical analysis is difficult to apply to meme coins, as their value is speculative. Robby Greenfield, founder of Umoja Labs, said that meme coins are a purely greed-driven "crazy market," and investors know little about high-risk assets. However, Greenfield expects that some meme coins will maintain high valuations. He pointed out: "As Coinbase and other exchanges introduce meme coin futures markets, some tokens, such as DOGE and PEPE, will continue to be legitimized. Considering the large communities behind these assets, they are likely to remain cryptocurrencies with higher market capitalization than most legitimate projects support." Do meme coins offer a more fair market entry? Many cryptocurrency launches in 2024 have high fully diluted valuations (FDV) and large VC allocations, which leads some analysts to believe that "cash-strapped VCs" are not good for cryptocurrencies in the long run. Therefore, Gianluca Sacco, Chief Operating Officer of VALR, said that retail investors may consider meme coins without VC allocations to be the most fair market opportunities. He said: "These tokens are seen as the fairest opportunity for retail investors currently participating in the cryptocurrency market, and the communities around them are also interesting... Many are frustrated with the high FDVs and low issuance tokens historically offered. By offering token projects at steep discounts to insiders and venture capitalists, the interests of retail users are sacrificed." According to data from TradingView, other meme coins such as Pepe, Shiba Inu, Dogwifhat (WIF), and Floki (FLOKI) have all seen double-digit gains in the past week. However, Diane Dai, Chief Marketing Officer of Dodo, said that this only indicates a temporary surge in interest in certain meme coins, not a resurgence of the meme coin "season." Dai pointed out: "Although the price has risen by double digits, trading volume is still low, indicating a lack of market liquidity. The large price fluctuations of meme coins are not enough to prove that investors are flooding into the meme coin market after the halving event." The daily trading volume of meme coins has fallen by more than 17% in the past 24 hours, to $6.58 billion. According to CoinMarketCap data, the market value of meme coins has fallen by 5.8% to $52.8 billion. Top meme coins ranked by market capitalization. Data source: CoinMarketCap.

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