比特币探底4万 是下跌延续还是抄底机会
作者：Alan Scott，cointelegraph 翻译：善欧巴，比特币买卖交易网
比特币暴跌！44000 美元跌幅背后暗藏抄底良机？
短期波动还是趋势大逆转？
比特币价格从 44,000 美元骤跌，日线图显示出 6.5% 的突然回调，加密货币市场上超过 3 亿美元的多头头寸被清算。
拉长视角，比特币近期的下跌只是长期上升趋势中的小幅回调。过去几个月，比特币建立了稳健的上涨趋势，此次下跌仅是其中一个小幅回撤。
此外，相对强度指数 (RSI) 已经回落至 70 以下的中性区域，表明当前市场并非处于超买状态。
上周的分析确认了比特币的强劲上涨趋势，突破4万美元后势头依然强劲。
基于这一背景，最近的下跌可能只是持续上涨趋势中的一次短期波动，而不是趋势的全面逆转，尽管未来几天仍有可能出现进一步下跌或横盘震荡。
比特币关键价格点
正如前面提到的，需要关注的重要价格点包括31860美元、28050美元和25200美元，这些价格点自2021年以来一直很重要。
因此，比特币价格没有接近这些水平，并且最近的上涨趋势足以轻松突破较低阻力位，这支持了当前价格走势属于健康回调范围，而不是看跌趋势逆转的观点。
牛市中的健康回调
回调被视为任何上升趋势的正常组成部分。它们通常被视为对市场有利，因为它们允许市场盘整并可以淘汰弱势持仓，正如11月中旬的波动所证明的那样。
如果随后出现强劲反弹，目前的跌幅将表明市场仍处于积极趋势中，交易者正在抄底。
因此，最新的价格下跌必须放在长期趋势的背景下来看，它似乎更像是牛市阶段内的一次暂时性下跌，而不是完全的趋势逆转，至少到目前为止。
然而，我们也必须考虑到，正如上面每个牛市阶段的长期下影线所示，比特币之前的牛市也都经历过超过 20% 的回调。
换句话说，比特币仍有可能进一步大幅下跌，而不会阻碍整体的上涨趋势。然而，它能否守住 42,000 美元以上将进一步加强这一论点，即这仅仅是短期下跌，整体市场情绪仍保持看涨。
The short-term fluctuation or the big reversal of the trend is hidden behind the sharp fall of bitcoin in the US dollar. The daily chart shows the sudden correction of bitcoin prices from the sharp fall of the US dollar, and the long positions of more than 100 million US dollars in the cryptocurrency market have been liquidated to lengthen the perspective. The recent decline of bitcoin is only a small correction in the long-term upward trend. In the past few months, bitcoin has established a steady upward trend, and this decline is only one of the small retracements. In addition, the relative strength index has been After falling back to the neutral area below, it shows that the current market is not overbought. Last week's analysis confirmed that the strong upward trend of Bitcoin is still strong after exceeding 10,000 US dollars. Based on this background, the recent decline may only be a short-term fluctuation in the continuous upward trend rather than a comprehensive reversal of the trend, although there may still be further decline or sideways fluctuation in the next few days. As mentioned above, the important price points of Bitcoin include US dollars, US dollars and US dollars. Some price points have been important since, so bitcoin prices are not close to these levels, and the recent upward trend is enough to easily break through the lower resistance level, which supports the view that the current price trend belongs to the healthy callback range rather than the reversal of the bearish trend. The healthy callback in the bull market is regarded as a normal part of any upward trend, and they are usually regarded as beneficial to the market because they allow the market to consolidate and can eliminate weak positions, as evidenced by the fluctuations in the middle of the month. Then there will be a strong rebound. The current decline will show that the market is still in a positive trend, so the latest price decline must be seen in the context of a long-term trend. It seems to be more like a temporary decline in the bull market stage than a complete reversal of the trend. At least so far, however, we must also take into account that as shown by the long-term shadow line of each bull market stage above, the bull market before Bitcoin has also experienced more than one correction, in other words, Bitcoin may still enter one. However, whether it can hold above the US dollar will further strengthen the argument that this is only a short-term decline and the overall market sentiment remains bullish. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台
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