分析师预测比特币 2024 年减半引爆 最高将飙升至 16 万美元

币圈资讯 阅读:31 2024-04-22 11:33:39 评论:0
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作者:Shaurya Malwa,coindesk 翻译:善欧巴,比特币买卖交易网

从历史上看,比特币在减半事件(减半事件会自动减少公开市场上新代币的供应)后会出现反弹,交易者可能会根据下一次计划于 2024 年 4 月发生的事件进行定价。

一系列催化剂和历史趋势可能会将比特币 (BTC) 推高至 16 万美元,分析师普遍预计,这场牛市将在 2024 年展开。

区块链分析公司 CryptoQuant 在周三与 CoinDesk 分享的一份报告中表示,来自美国多个现货交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的预期比特币需求、即将到来的减半(每四年将比特币产出减半一次)以及宽松利率政策下更广泛股市的增长,可能会在短期内将比特币价格推高至至少 5 万美元。

CryptoQuant 的分析师表示:“我们认为,2024 年比特币和加密货币市场可能会表现积极,主要受到以下因素的影响:1. 市场估值周期,2. 网络活动,3. 比特币减半,4. 宏观经济观点,5. 比特币现货 ETF 批准,以及 6. 稳定币流动性增长。”

“链上估值和网络指标都表明,比特币仍处于牛市周期中,中期目标可能达到 5.4 万美元,本轮峰值可能达到 16 万美元,”分析师表示。

比特币在其减半事件后——该事件会自动减少市场上新币供给——往往会出现价格飙升,而交易员们可能已经在为预计于 2024 年 4 月发生的下一轮减半做准备。

与此同时,包括贝莱德 (BLK) 和 VanEck 在内的七家传统金融巨头正在与美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 就现货比特币 ETF 进行谈判——这种反复磋商可能意味着谈判正在积极进行中。

一些知名比特币持有者表示,这一发展可能是华尔街上“30 年来”最重要的事件之一。

麦克尔·赛勒 (Michael Saylor) 周二在接受 CNBC 采访时表示:“断言这可能是华尔街上 30 年来最重要的发展并不夸张。” 他暗示,上一个与此相似的产品是标普 500 ETF,它允许投资者一键式接触这一广受欢迎的指数。Saylor 的商业软件公司 MicroStrategy 是世界上最大的公开比特币持有者,其资产库中持有超过 80 亿美元的比特币。

交易员还预计,随着通货膨胀持续下降,美联储将在 2024 年降息——历史上,较低的利率一直有利于对科技股和加密货币等风险资产进行大规模押注。

然而,CryptoQuant 在其报告中警告称,由于近期投资者持有巨额未实现收益,短期内价格仍有可能下滑。

分析师表示:“考虑到短期比特币持有者目前拥有高额未实现利润,而这种情况在历史上往往会引发价格回调,因此存在一定的价格修正风险。”


Historically, the event of halving bitcoin will automatically reduce the supply of new tokens in the open market, and then there will be a rebound. Traders may price bitcoin according to the next event planned for January, and a series of catalysts and historical trends may push it up to 10,000 US dollars. Analysts generally expect this bull market to start in 2008. In a report shared with blockchain analysis company on Wednesday, it said that it came from a number of spot exchanges in the United States. The expected demand for bitcoin in trading funds will be halved in the near future, the output of bitcoin will be halved every four years, and the growth of the broader stock market under the loose interest rate policy may push the price of bitcoin to at least $10,000 in a short period of time. Analysts said that we believe that the bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets may perform positively in 2008, mainly due to the following factors: the market valuation cycle, the network activity, the macroeconomic point of view, the spot approval of bitcoin and the valuation of stable currency liquidity growth chain. And network indicators show that bitcoin is still in the bull market cycle, and the medium-term target may reach $10,000. The peak of this round may reach $10,000. Analysts say that bitcoin will automatically reduce the supply of new coins in the market after its halving event, and prices will often soar. Traders may already be preparing for the next round of halving that is expected to happen in June. At the same time, seven traditional financial giants, including BlackRock, are negotiating with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on spot bitcoin. This kind of repeated consultations may mean that the negotiations are actively going on. Some well-known bitcoin holders said that this development may be one of the most important events on Wall Street last year. Michael Sailor asserted in an interview on Tuesday that this may be the most important development on Wall Street last year. It is not an exaggeration. He hinted that the last similar product was Standard & Poor's, which allowed investors to have one-click access to this popular index. The commercial software company is the largest public bitcoin holder in the world. Bitcoin traders who hold more than 100 million dollars also expect that with the continuous decline of inflation, the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in 2008. Historically, lower interest rates have been conducive to large-scale bets on risky assets such as technology stocks and cryptocurrencies. However, in their report, they warned that prices may still fall in the short term due to the huge unrealized gains held by investors in the near future. Analysts said that considering that short-term bitcoin holders currently have high unrealized profits, which will often lead to price correction in history, there is a certain risk of price correction 2. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

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