现在的比特币价格 到底是高还是低？

Generally speaking, there are two types of assets that can be invested at present: production assets that can create cash flow by themselves, and commodity assets that cannot. Obviously, bitcoin is different from stocks, real estate bonds and other commodities, but the valuation of production assets is a commodity asset similar to gold, which mainly depends on its current or future cash flow, but almost every commodity asset has its own unique logic of supply and demand valuation. What should I buy in the previous article? In this paper, I have used the idea of scarcity valuation of stock flow to establish a logical model of fair price for bitcoin price. Of course, all models are the reflection of historical data, but at least from the fluctuation history of bitcoin price in the past year, this model and logic are realistic, which shows that the article has been deleted. In the past two days, I will rearrange the content of pure theoretical discussion before publishing it, so I have to follow three steps to judge whether bitcoin price is high or low. First, I need to understand it. The price logic of bitcoin is the second to judge the macro-financial environment, which may determine the so-called bull market or bear market. Third, the current short-term market sentiment does not consider the macro-financial environment or market sentiment. From the perspective of bitcoin price logic model, we can directly use the actual price fair price of bitcoin to indicate whether the current bitcoin price is overvalued or underestimated. There are four stages in recent years. The actual price model of bitcoin is lower than the month, month and year currency price in the green shaded area in the figure. Fluctuation between US dollars Year Year Year Year Currency Price Fluctuation between US dollars Year Year Currency Price Fluctuation between US dollars Year Year Currency Price Fluctuation between US dollars, of which the lowest point appears in the year month and the year month, and the ratio of the actual price to the fair price is only about yesterday's article. In the message, someone also asked me why I didn't recommend Bitcoin to everyone when the currency price was the lowest, but I wrote an article instead. This is not cheating everyone. I don't know if these people often read my article. Many people should not say such ignorant words. I have written articles many times to sing about certain assets, but it will not be the high point of that asset price. In this article, no matter whether stocks, US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, gold, bitcoin or even crude oil are extremely high, they sing about multipolarity and low position. I have never done such a thing. In fact, in June, I combed the serial bankruptcy tide of financial institutions in the currency circle and wrote an article explaining why the currency price fell so sharply at that time and clearly told everyone about the currency price at the beginning of June. Now in the end, the serial bankruptcy of the currency circle, the tide of the currency circle earthquake, and the deadly leverage, the biggest bankruptcy is only bitcoin. The question is, at that time, I was desperately recommending you to buy it. Do you still think that I was in the pit? Of course, I know that someone must have bought it at that time according to my judgment. Now they will tell you if they make money. According to my latest simulation model, the current fair currency price is about $10,000, so you can understand that it is actually $10,000 now. The currency price of the US dollar is not low, but it is not overvalued, and it is still in the appropriate range. Let's look at the macro financial environment again. It can be said that the year of 2008 is the tightest year of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy in recent years. Even in this case, the annual increase of Bitcoin has reached a new level, which obviously shows that the price of Bitcoin must be quite low at the end of the year. In the case that the Federal Reserve is basically unlikely to tighten and release water, it is theoretically possible that the price of Bitcoin should be close to the price of its fair model. Finally, let's look at the market sentiment. Since the end of last year, because a series of bitcoins have been approved by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, and because of the expectation that a large number of takers will arrive after the approval, the market sentiment has continued to soar in the last two months. This market sentiment has spread to this day and has not subsided until now, and it is still continuing to be interpreted. From the market sentiment, it must be at the boiling point of sentiment at present, which means that the price may be at a relatively high level in the short term. The currency is in a reasonable range. From the macro-financial environment, Bitcoin is in a reasonable range. From the market sentiment, Bitcoin is above the emotional high point. Three are my judgments on the current bitcoin price. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

注册有任何问题请添加 微信：MVIP619 拉你进入群

文章转载注明 网址：https://netpsp.com/?id=61856