LD Capital：从未实现净损益、长短期持有量变动以及BTC市值占比 分析BTC所处市场阶段

The author's highest breakthrough last week is very close to the high point of the last bull market. At the same time, the price of newly issued assets in the market is constantly being pushed up, and the bubble is being formed and enlarged. For players who have opened positions in the past two years, they have begun to think about a question at what stage and when to take profit and leave, providing a large number of analysis indicators, from which two indicators, unrealized net profit and loss and long-term and short-term holdings changes, are selected to see where the market is. It is how much of bitcoin's circulation supply is profitable or losing at any given time, and how to describe the overall profit and loss state by calculating the difference between the current market value and the realized market value. The calculation formula is that the realized market value is the value obtained by adding the prices of bitcoin in the previous move. The current market value MINUS the realized market value gets the unrealized market value. If the unrealized market value is negative, the overall market is in a loss state, and if it is positive, it indicates the market. The specific value obtained by dividing the unrealized profit or loss of the whole field by the current market value is that the smaller the profit is, the closer it is to the bottom, and the smaller the loss is, the closer it is to the top. The red area is located below and belongs to the loss area. At this time, it is also the buying area. The orange area is between the micro-profit areas, the yellow area is the green area, and the above is usually a better buying area. Above, it may enter the bull market to observe the history, which can be seen well. It shows that the bottom region in the second half of the year is basically in the following, and the tips for the top region are relatively broad. The bull market in the year touched the blue region for a very short time, but it didn't touch the blue region at all in the year, which increased the difficulty of judging the top region. At present, our position was in the green region from the beginning of the month to the beginning of the month, and then fell into the yellow region, and then entered the green region again on the day of the month. At present, it belongs to the second time in this cycle to enter the green region. It lasted for nearly a month, month to month, and it was basically in the green area. During this period, it rose from US dollar to US dollar by about times, and it was also in the green area during the period of months from month to month and from month to month, it rose from US dollar to US dollar by about times. From the perspective of duration, the green area lasted for more than months. It should be noted that the first two bull markets were all halved, and compared with this year, it was close before halving. The new high has also been running in the green area for more than a month. This time, it is impossible to simply carve a boat and seek a sword according to the halving market. The halving market in the previous two bull markets has had a great impact on the reduction of production, which has greatly reduced the supply and increased the mining cost, which has caused the situation of short supply and promoted the price increase. Most of the bull markets in this round have entered the circulation, which has reduced the impact on the supply. At this time, the adoption of halving market has also caused a situation of short supply, which has contributed to the early start of the market. Affected by the US monetary policy and the US stock market, long-term holdings change. Long-term holdings refer to those that have not moved for more than days in the same address, while short-term holdings refer to those that have been moved within days in the same address. We can see when long-term holders are accumulating tokens and when they are selling tokens. At present, the total amount of long-term holdings is about 10,000, and the total amount of short-term holdings is about 10,000. At the end of the year, when the bull market peaked at USD, the long-term holdings began to reduce their holdings and sell, and the selling trend continued until the beginning of the year. Correspondingly, the number of short-term holdings increased greatly, and the long-term holdings were in a downward trend throughout the year, and they were in a growing trend. After investors broke through USD in the period of time, the long-term holdings appeared to reduce their holdings and fell in the year, and the long-term accumulation continued to climb until the year broke through USD, and the trend of long-term holdings continued until the year. In the year, month, month and year, the long-term holdings showed a short-term decline, but then they all showed a trend of continuous growth. At the beginning of the year, the long-term holdings began to decrease from the highest peak of 10 thousand to 10 thousand, and the trend is still continuing. The historical data shows that the market value accounts for the total market value of cryptocurrency. It can be seen that the market value increases in the bear market and decreases in the bull market. The low point of the bull market in the bull market in the year is around, and the market value ratio is gradually decreasing in each round, forming a trend line. The current share is still within the trend line. The highest share since the current bear market is around, and the market value share at the high point of the bull market should drop to around. The current market value share has not yet shown a clear downward trend. Conclusion The unrealized net profit and loss is higher than the currency holding address, and the unrealized profit is higher than the interval, which lasts for months and months respectively in the bull market in and after halving, and this year has entered the general profit range before halving. The market has been different from before. The influence of US monetary policy and US stock market may be greater. For example, the determination of interest rate cuts may bring about a market correction. From the perspective of long-term and short-term holdings changes, the long-term holdings are at a historical high. However, the long-term holders have gradually reduced their holdings since January, which is similar to that of the long-term holders every year. They will continue to sell between breaking through the previous bull market high and the current bull market high. From the perspective of market value ratio, the current market value ratio is still at a relatively high level, and there has not been an obvious downward trend. As a whole, the main rising wave market of shanzhai coins has not yet started 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

注册有任何问题请添加 微信：MVIP619 拉你进入群

文章转载注明 网址：https://netpsp.com/?id=60255