美国 1 月 CPI 高于预期:比特币失守 5 万美元大关 终止 7 连涨
作者:區塊妹 MEL;来源:区块客blockcast
美国劳工部周二公布,1 月整体核心消费者物价指数(CPI)双双高于华尔街预期,浇熄投资人对今年上半年降息的期待,令风险资产承压,比特币失守 5 万美元大关,最低下探至 48,385 美元。分析师指出,“恶劣”的通膨数据虽然会造成短期冲击,但并不会“严重削弱加密货币市场的情绪”。
根据 CoinGecko 数据显示,截至写稿时,比特币已收复部分跌幅,回升至 49,504 美元,过去 24 小时下跌 1.2%,整体市场行情回落,前十大加密货币一片血海,跌幅均介于 1.2% 至 5% 之间。
根据美国劳工部数据,1 月 CPI 年增 3.1% 、核心 CPI 年增 3.9%,均高于经济学家预估。芝商所(CME)的 FedWatch 工具显示,市场交易员预期今年 5 月降息的几率已从 52% 下降到 34% 。
线上交易平台 OANDA 资深分析师 Craig Erlam 在周二的一份报告中表示:“这不是联准会(Fed)希望看到的通膨报告,市场也做出了相应反应。”
他指出,交易员目前预计 2024 年只会降息 3 次(75 个基点),较上个月的预期 175 个基点大幅下降,但他也表明,对通膨的担忧可能已变得过于悲观。
Craig Erlam 表示:“我们在通膨方面取得了实质性进展,我预计未来几个月还会看到更多进展。”
他指出,“恶劣”的通膨数据对比特币而言“来得很不是时候”,让睽违两年首次突破 5 万美元的比特币摔了一跤,7 天连涨之势就此止步。
Craig Erlam 补充说:“虽然短期内会造成冲击,但我认为这不会过分抑制加密货币领域的情绪。”
Author Block Sister Source Block Guest The US Department of Labor announced on Tuesday that the overall core consumer price index for the month was both higher than Wall Street's expectations. Investors' expectations for interest rate cuts in the first half of this year put the risk assets under pressure. Bitcoin fell below the $10,000 mark, and the lowest price dropped to the US dollar. Analysts pointed out that bad inflation data will cause short-term impact, but it will not seriously weaken the sentiment of the cryptocurrency market. According to the data, by the time of writing, Bitcoin has recovered some of its decline and rebounded to the whole decline of the US dollar in the past hour. The top ten cryptocurrencies all fell in a sea of blood before the market fell. According to the data of the US Department of Labor, the monthly growth rate and the core annual growth rate were higher than economists' estimates. The tools of the Chicago Stock Exchange show that the probability of market traders' expected interest rate cuts this month has dropped from the previous month to the online trading platform. Senior analysts said in a report on Tuesday that this is not the inflation report that the Federal Reserve wanted to see, and the market responded accordingly. He pointed out that traders currently expect to cut interest rates by only two basis points, compared with last month's forecast. There has been a sharp drop in the basis point, but he also indicated that the worries about inflation may have become too pessimistic, indicating that we have made substantial progress in inflation, and I expect to see more progress in the next few months. He pointed out that the bad inflation data came at a very bad time for Bitcoin, which broke through 10,000 US dollars for the first time in two years, and stopped the trend of rising day after day, adding that although it would have an impact in the short term, I don't think it would excessively restrain the emotions in the cryptocurrency field. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台
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