进入比特币减半月:把握行情节拍 用3EX AI交易更高效

币圈资讯 阅读:40 2024-04-22 04:11:03 评论:0
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比特币减半机制使其展现出了其与生俱来的通缩特性。与传统法定货币不同,比特币无法通过中央银行随意增发,显示出了更高的稳定性和预测性,这种稀缺性使其在某种程度上成为数字黄金,同时也吸引了众多投资者的目光。

一、什么比特币减半?

减半机制,是中本聪在设计比特币时嵌入的一种货币政策,目的在于通过每产生210,000个区块(约每四年)新发行的代币数量减少一半的机制,模拟黄金等贵金属的稀缺性和供给上限。这种机制不仅确保了比特币的稀缺性,也为其长期可持续性提供了保障。因为挖矿算法存在可变性,因此生成一个区块所需的时间是不固定的,可能会根据矿工数量等因素而波动。

减半确保了比特币发行量随着时间的推移而减少直至达到比特币数量硬性限制2100 万个。第一次减半将比特币区块奖励从 50 个比特币削减至 25 个,第二次减半至 12.5 个,第三次减半至 6.25 个。第四次减半将使矿工奖励减少至 3.125 个比特币。比特币供应量目前的年增速约为1.75%,减半后将放缓至1.1%。这个过程应该像这样循环下去,直到 2140 年,届时矿工将仅获得网络交易费用的奖励。

二、比特币历次减半事件及其影响

1.第一次减半

时间:2012年11月28日

BTC价格:减半前价格约12美元,减半后12个月价格涨至1,150美元,价格涨幅9,483%。

影响评析:这是比特币第一次经历减半,市场对新稀缺资源的反应十分强烈,价格呈现出爆炸性增长。

2.第二次减半

时间:2016年7月9日

BTC价格:减半前价格约660美元,减半后18个月价格飙升至20,000美元,价格涨幅2,984%。

影响评析:比特币的认可度上升,减半不仅提高了稀缺性,也为其作为价值储存的未来铺平了道路。

3.第三次比特币减半

时间:2020年5月11日

BTC价格:减半前价格约8,600美元,减半后12个月价格达到64,863美元,价格涨幅620%。

影响评析:减半提升了比特币作为成熟金融资产的形象,加上市场对加密货币兴趣的普遍上升,比特币价格再次迎来大幅上涨。

三、比特币第四次减半影响预测

第四次减半,预计发生时间为2020年4月20日左右,区块高度达到840,000时,距今预计剩余不足 20 天,剩余区块 2797 个。这次减半将使每个区块的奖励从6.25个比特币减至3.125个。本次比特币减半还叠加了多重影响因素,将引发更大想象空间:

1.BTC现货ETF通过促进BTC成为主流资产

2024年1月美国证券交易委员会(SEC)批准上市的比特币现货ETF可能会影响本次减半后的币价走势。比特币ETF为投资者提供了投资比特币的传统合规渠道,一方面降低了比特币的投资难度。同时贝莱德、富达投资等头部企业推出的产品也释放了一大信号,表明比特币越来越为主流所接受。如今,得益于比特币ETF这类全新的金融产品,对冲基金、养老基金、家族办公室和主权财富基金可以根据相关投资条款和条件,更放心地投资比特币。

2.机构比特币持有量持续增加

比特币ETF会大大增加对比特币需求。贝莱德发行的比特币ETF堪称是有史以来发行最成功的ETF产品之一,在短短七周内就吸引了100亿美元的资产,创下全新纪录。全球所有比特币投资产品目前控制着超100万枚比特币,约占当前流通供应量的5%。若需求保持强劲,ETF对价格的影响可能会超过减半事件带来的影响。比特币减半在过去扮演了星星之火的角色,此次减半则可能会让比特币牛市强上强加。

3.看涨预期刺激需求

心理活动和价格行为之间的相互作用是分析此次减半需考虑的另一大关键因素。之前比特币减半事件对币价的积极影响,将投资者带来更高的币价上涨,促进比特币的购买和持有需求。

此外,萨尔瓦多和中非共和国之后进一步拥抱比特币,也可能成为一大看涨因素。

鉴于上述因素,业界研究机构普遍持乐观态度,认为BTC减半只是长期牛市的开始,预测比特币在 2025 年中期的平均价格范围为 15 万美元至 20 万美元。

四、3EX AI交易平台:用AI的力量把握行情节拍

随着比特币减半的临近,投资者对比特币和加密市场充满了期待。3EX AI交易平台为广大投资者提供了一个全新的、智能化的交易选择。在3EX AI交易平台,用户可以定制个性化的交易策略、及时模拟盈亏并自动执行,实现一站式全流程的AI交易服务。用户也可以通过AI交易跟单服务自动复制优秀交易者的操作,从而提高交易效率和成功率。此外,3EX近期推出了AI交易跟单爆仓险,为用户提供了首次爆仓的保障,减少了潜在的资产损失风险,增强了用户的交易安全性,为用户提供了一个安全、便捷的交易环境。

此外,3EX AI交易平台还将于近日推出交易大赛和系列活动,迎接比特币第四次减半的到来,为用户提供了一条捕捉上涨机会的新途径,通过智能化的方式,把握四年一度的上涨机遇,敬请期待官方公告。

每次比特币减半都是加密历史上的重要时刻。随着第四次减半的临近,全世界的目光再次聚焦于此,让我们一起期待这次减半事件将为加密行业带来怎样的惊喜,用3EX AI交易,精准把握行情节拍,实现更高效的投资效果。

3EX相关链接:

Twitter(EN): https://twitter.com/3exglobal

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Telegram(CN):https://t.me/chinese_3ex

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Bitcoin halving mechanism shows its inherent deflationary characteristics. Unlike traditional legal tender, Bitcoin can't be issued by the central bank at will, which shows higher stability and predictability. This scarcity makes it digital gold to some extent, and it also attracts the attention of many investors. What is the bitcoin halving mechanism? It is a monetary policy embedded in Satoshi Nakamoto's design of Bitcoin. The purpose is to reduce the number of newly issued tokens every four years for each block. Less than half of the mechanism simulates the scarcity and supply ceiling of precious metals such as gold. This mechanism not only ensures the scarcity of bitcoin, but also provides a guarantee for its long-term sustainability. Because of the variability of mining algorithms, the time required to generate a block is not fixed and may fluctuate by half according to factors such as the number of miners, ensuring that the circulation of bitcoin decreases over time until it reaches the hard limit of 10,000 bitcoins, and halving the bitcoin block reward from one bitcoin for the first time. Cutting it to a second halving to a third halving to a fourth halving will reduce the miners' reward to a bitcoin. After the current annual growth rate is about halved, it will slow down to this process. Until the year, miners will only get the reward of online transaction fees. The first halving time, the first halving time, the price was halved before the price was halved, and the price rose to the dollar last month. This is the first time that bitcoin has been halved. After halving, the market reacted strongly to the new scarce resources, and the price showed explosive growth. The second halving time, the month before halving the price, the price was about US dollars, and the price soared to US dollars last month. The increase in acceptance of Bitcoin by halving not only increased scarcity, but also paved the way for its future as a value store. The third halving time, the month before halving the price, the price was about US dollars, and the price rose to US dollars last month. With the image of Bitcoin as a mature financial asset and the general increase in market interest in cryptocurrency, the price of Bitcoin has once again ushered in a sharp rise. The fourth halving of Bitcoin is predicted to occur around the year, month and day. It is estimated that there will be less than a few days left before the height of the block reaches. This halving will reduce the reward for each block from one bitcoin to one. This halving of Bitcoin will also lead to more imagination by promoting the spot to become the master. Current assets The spot bitcoin approved for listing by the US Securities and Exchange Commission in May may affect the trend of the currency price after halving this time. Bitcoin provides investors with a traditional compliance channel for investing in Bitcoin, which on the one hand reduces the difficulty of investing in Bitcoin, and at the same time, the products launched by head enterprises such as BlackRock Fidelity Investment also release a big signal that Bitcoin is increasingly accepted by the mainstream, and now it benefits from brand-new financial products such as Bitcoin, hedge funds, pension funds, family offices and sovereign wealth. Funds can invest in bitcoin institutions with more confidence according to relevant investment terms and conditions. The continuous increase in bitcoin holdings will greatly increase the demand for bitcoin. The bitcoin issued by BlackRock is one of the most successful products in history. In just seven weeks, it has attracted assets of US$ 100 million and set a new record. All bitcoin investment products in the world currently control over 10,000 bitcoins, accounting for about the current circulation supply. If the demand remains strong, the impact on the price may exceed half. In the past, the halving of bitcoin played the role of a spark. This halving may make the bitcoin bull market impose bullish expectations and stimulate demand. The interaction between psychological activities and price behavior is another key factor to be considered in analyzing this halving. The positive impact of the previous halving of bitcoin on the currency price will bring higher currency prices to investors and promote the demand for bitcoin purchase and holding. In addition, El Salvador and the Central African Republic can further embrace bitcoin. It can become a big bullish factor. In view of the above factors, industry research institutions are generally optimistic that halving is only the beginning of a long-term bull market. It is predicted that the average price of Bitcoin will range from $10,000 to $10,000 in the middle of the year. Four trading platforms use their strength to grasp the market rhythm. With the approach of halving Bitcoin, investors are full of expectations for Bitcoin and encryption markets. The trading platform provides a brand-new intelligent trading choice for investors. On the trading platform, users can customize personalized trading strategies. A little timely simulation of profit and loss and automatic execution of one-stop full-process trading services can also automatically copy the operations of excellent traders through the trading documentary service, thus improving the trading efficiency and success rate. In addition, the recent introduction of the trading documentary warehouse explosion insurance provides users with the protection of the first warehouse explosion, reduces the potential risk of asset loss, enhances the trading safety of users and provides users with a safe and convenient trading environment. In addition, the trading platform will also launch trading competitions and series of activities in the near future. Welcoming the fourth halving of Bitcoin provides users with a new way to capture the rising opportunity. Grasp the rising opportunity every four years in an intelligent way. Please look forward to the official announcement. Every halving of Bitcoin is an important moment in the history of encryption. As the fourth halving approaches, the eyes of the whole world focus on it again. Let's look forward to what surprises this halving event will bring to the encryption industry, and realize more efficient investment effects by accurately grasping the market rhythm with transactions. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

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