BTC现阶段或不具备长期下跌基础

Author Liu Jiaolian's good wind sent me to Qingyun by force. Since the bitcoin spot was officially approved for listing in the United States at the beginning of the year, refer to the article of Jiaolian. I want to enter the room and welcome it. After I reached the high point, it took me more than half a month to pull back all the way, and then I started to pick up on the month. A carp rose and stood back to the top. Since then, it has been soaring from all the way to the month, and it has received an effective breakthrough at a record high and surpassed the technical signal of a bull market. Just as the teaching chain pointed out in the year-end resumption outlook report that it was probably a low cycle at that time, when it has broken through the previous high and reached a new historical height nearby, the teaching chain has been in the teaching chain on March, and the research said that it will rise to ten thousand knives at the beginning of the month, suggesting that the midfield risk is rising, which was said by the internal reference at that time. At present, it is basically in the middle track position. From here on, the higher the risk, the greater the bear market deleveraging, because it is basically the same. It represents how big the leverage accumulated by the bull market is, even if it rises to the height of 10,000 yuan, which many people may not dare to think about, the callback will return to 10,000 yuan, which is the interval where the bull market is currently started. If the top of the mountain is not as high as 10,000 yuan, the height after the callback will only be lower. Therefore, starting from 10,000 yuan is a confirmation signal that the leeks who had previously retreated from the circle have come back, but it is also a watershed for the market to switch from low-risk to high-risk Many people who just entered at this time may not make any money after crossing this round of bulls and bears. The mathematical expectation of doubling the profit and loss in the encryption market in the spirit of leniency for the enemy is already equal to this, which is still the lowest risk. If we still look at the old double logarithmic price corridor, the upper rail knife at the end of the year, the upper rail knife at the end of the year, the upper rail knife at the end of the year, the upper rail knife at the end of the year, the lower rail knife at the end of the year, and the lower rail knife at the end of the year. If the sub-development means touching the upper track, then we may be lucky enough to see three in the next year. If the four-year cycle is still valid, then the bear market at the end of the year will approach the lower track. This is exactly the price range today. Remember what the hill in Jonathan Lee sang: If you cross the hill, you will find that no one is waiting, but you will lose your hope before you achieve immortality. Friends who enter the field at this time will find that the teaching chain is already waiting. If the old leek wants to escape from the top, you might as well. Divide the position into two parts, one for adding positions below the knife, which can hardly move like a mountain, and the other for adding positions above the knife, which may reduce positions in batches after crossing upwards. The consciousness of reducing positions must be that you don't want to take advantage of it, that is, you still want to buy more positions at a cheaper price, and you have to bear the due risk of selling and flying. Don't regret it if you can't buy them back in the future. If you don't have this open-minded attitude, you will lose. You said that you can wait even more before you start reducing positions. In fact, you can wait as much It depends on fate. Understand the probability and abandon the thinking that is not black or white. 5. According to the breathing theory hypothesis put forward by the teaching chain, refer to the teaching chain article. Bitcoin's annual price forecast returned to the underwater in January and has been exhaled until today. It seems that Bitcoin has already exhausted all the air inhaled from the year to the first half of the year. Now the whole lung capacity has been exhausted, and it is urgent to lean out of the middle of the water to breathe in fresh air. That is, the title of this article says that the teaching chain may not have a long-term decline basis. In fact, this statement is early in the teaching chain. It seems unreasonable to ask where the road ahead is, if it is still close to the surface from the perspective of breathing theory, and if it is not breathing yet, it will soon breathe out all the gas sucked by the bull market. If it is not inhaled more gas above the middle rail, it will collapse directly and plunge down and breathe out underwater without gas. This comment is given from macro factors, that is, external factors, when commenting on the statement made by the founder of a fund at that time that the month will be called back. From the angle of view, the maturity of monthly instruments has withdrawn from the US inflation momentum, and the Fed's meeting on interest rates will surely not turn loose quickly. These will not be good news, and the sharp rise in the past few months is daunting. At this moment, any macro analyst may tell you that you should get out of a callback with a large amplitude and a long length, but if we operate from the perspective of endogenous contradictions, that is, from the perspective of internal factors, I pull out my dagger, I peer four ways in vain can't see how to be straight in this place. Many people think that external factors must determine internal factors, but the contradiction theory of teachers always clearly tells us that internal factors determine external factors, so victory and defeat are all determined by internal factors. External factors can only exert their effects through internal factors, and it is useless to impose external factors, just as your child doesn't like learning, no matter how hard you force him, it is impossible to force him to become a schoolmaster. I think the powerful and almost divine Federal Reserve can't defeat the teachers' thoughts. This doesn't mean that you can't pin down and pull pins. The time is extremely short, and it doesn't take up breathing volume. Even if a needle is inserted, its integral area is almost zero. In order to explode the position, everything is possible. Theoretical derivation, academic discussion, bold hypothesis, careful verification and not as any investment basis or trading suggestion, remember to remember. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

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