当利空出尽时，便只剩利好_虚拟币交易所平台,数字货币,NFT

牛熊就在一瞬间/举杯对月情似天/牛熊两茫茫/问君何时恋

12月4号一根直插42k的针戳破了多少人年底下半场的幻想。无论我们内心是怎么渴望看到年底的牛市冲顶，胜利大逃亡，这都是主观主义的肥皂泡，一戳就破。内心的魔障，只会成为蒙蔽我们双眼的事物，让我们失去了客观、独立的观察和思考。

10月中旬一篇《年底没有下半场》，道出了11、12月没有牛市冲顶的逻辑。现在看来，11月miss了98k。57k的月收远远低于98k。12月4号我们回踩到42k，现在7号，修复到5万刀，也就是《本轮牛市的红黄线》所指明的黄线位置。

不客气，我会一直念叨这件事，直到12月结束，完全验证12月也没有达到13.5k为止。

或许有人这个时候要出来劝了，饶恕喷子们的错误吧，不要和他们一般见识。这种劝诫就是世风日下的罪魁祸首。合着提示风险的好意被污蔑，鲜见有人见义勇为去制止；现在污蔑者被市场打下了水，成了落水狗，倒是来劝诫好人不要打落水狗了。

网络上毫无逻辑的谩骂和张口就喷的评论那么多，这种坏人要原谅、好人要忠恕的封建教条时至今日仍然毒害者国人的精神，是为最大原因。如果人人都对不分青红皂白的网络喷子痛骂回去，骂他们一个狗血喷头。及至他们落了水，成了落水狗，也穷追猛打，一直打到落水狗再也上不了岸，不敢咬人为止。落水狗一日仍敢叫唤，就痛打一日。一年不改，就痛打一年。一辈子不改，就痛打到死。那么中文网络环境大约也不会发展到像今天这么乌烟瘴气的程度。

除恶务尽，落水狗就要痛打，这是鲁迅先生早就教导过我们的。每个人都要这样做，网络清朗靠大家。

韭菜心里的牛熊是价格的滞后指标。他们看到价格大涨，才知道是牛市来了。他们看到价格大跌，就说是熊市来了。

用滞后指标指导操作，从来只有一个结果，就是亏损。

当大V纷纷看熊，感慨牛市不再的时候。当韭菜纷纷恐惧，准备低点割肉的时候。我又要开始说点儿不一样的话了。你知道，我是喜欢逆着市场说话的。

我们知道本轮中场，从2月过5万开始。2-4月形成wyckoff顶部派发模式，派发区间在6万刀上下。5月9-19是派发模式终端的暴跌，5/19-7/20进入wyckoff底部吸筹模式，吸筹区间3万刀上下。此时是大V们第一次喊熊。我当时文章认为牛市仍在。

7/20触底反弹，一路拉到8月底、9月初形成一阶段强势信号点（SOS）大约是在5万刀下方。然后9月份开始一阶段SOS之后的回踩测试，测试最后支撑点（LPS）4万刀。此时是大V们第二次喊熊。我当时文章认为牛市仍在，并明确指出这就是一阶段回踩测试。

9月底回测LPS之后，开启二阶段拉升至10月中旬左右连续突破6万和前高，我写文章《年底没有下半场》，提示接下来的风险。11月初假突破，一度摸到69k接近7万，诱多之后转杀多，整整杀了一个月，至12月4日跌破一阶段SOS位置5万刀。飞流直下三千尺，疑是银河落九天。市场像断了线的铅锤，直接插到一阶段LPS的4万刀去了（实际差一点点，只破了42k）。我们来到现在了，大V们开始第三次喊熊。我写这篇文章的用意，就是认为牛市仍在，并指出当利空出尽时，便只剩利好。

如果我们看整个中场大震荡的箱体，其实还是在向上发展的。上限从6万刀7万，下限从3万到4万到5万。整个中场的大横盘、大洗盘，振幅越大，洗的越狠，蓄力越足。

内因的方面，从6万哪怕是7万转熊，按熊市跌70-80%，那就是1.2-1.4k，跌破前轮牛市前高2万刀。这几乎是不可能的。具体请温习7/6文章《牛市熊了么？》。

外因的方面。本月15号有若干大事要叠加发生。现在我们还不能盲目称之为利空出尽或者利好，但是值得关注。一是央行再次降准，实施日就是15号。记得上一次吗，7/10《万亿降准吹响空头集结号》记载的，7/15执行，7/20触底反弹。二是CEX清退，15号是一个关键节点。韭菜莫名的恐慌也该有个头了。三是14-15美联储FOMC今年最后一次会议。鲍威尔虽然在采访时放出狠话（12/1《鲍威尔放出狠话》），但是真到了议息会议上，他又能硬多久呢？

不管怎么样，这牛市也要拖到明年了。美联储已经在11、12月taper了。即使有所调整动作，也要2022年才能实施了。而决定，则可能在12月这次会议放出风声。

另外，SEC手里还有一些好牌。比如对DEX（尤其是Uniswap）的审查结果出台，比如众望所归的BTC现货ETF的批准。当然这里变数颇大。不过人家Messari都指着Gensler的鼻子破口大骂了，SEC也不能无动于衷的不是？

而利空呢？年底出尽之后，还剩啥？对了，澳本聪诉克莱曼兄妹的案子前些日子已经关闭了，法官没有得出结论，所以澳本聪也不会拿到克莱曼的去砸盘了。

加密旅途的故事精彩纷呈。而精彩，还在继续！

坐稳扶好，迎接明年下半场。

(公众号：刘教链。星球：公众号回复“星球”)
(免责声明：本文内容均不构成任何投资建议。加密货币为极高风险品种，有随时归零的风险，请谨慎参与，自我负责。)

Bull and bear raise their glasses to the moon in an instant. It's like a bull and bear asking you when you love the moon. How many people's fantasies in the second half of the year have been punctured by a straight needle? No matter how much we are eager to see the bull market at the end of the year rush to the top of great escape, it's all a subjective soap bubble. evil influence will only become something that blinds our eyes, making us lose our objective and independent observation and thinking. In the middle of the month, an article at the end of the year tells the logic that there is no bull market rushing to the top of the month. Now it seems that it's month. The monthly income is much lower than that of the month, so we will step back on the month, and repair it to 10,000 dollars, which is the position of the yellow line indicated by the red and yellow line of this bull market. You're welcome. I will keep saying this until the end of the month and fully verify that the month has not been reached. Maybe someone will come out at this time to persuade the sprayers to forgive their mistakes. Don't share their knowledge. This kind of advice is the chief culprit of the declining world, and it is rare to be slandered with the kindness of reminding the risks. Some people are brave enough to stop the slanders from being drowned by the market. Reservoir Dogs has come to advise good people not to hit Reservoir Dogs. There are so many illogical abuse and comments on the Internet. This kind of bad people have to forgive the feudal dogma that good people should be loyal and forgiving. The spirit of the Chinese people is the biggest reason. If everyone scolds the indiscriminate online sprayers, they will go back and scold them. Until they fall into the water, Reservoir Dogs will also chase them down and beat them until Reservoir Dogs can no longer go ashore and dare not bite people. Reservoir Dogs will still dare to scream as long as one day. Beat up for a day if you don't change it every year, beat up for a year if you don't change it all your life, then the Chinese network environment will probably not develop to such a smoky level as it is today. It is what Mr. Lu Xun has long taught us that everyone should do. The network is clear and clear, and the bulls and bears in the hearts of leeks are the lagging indicators of prices. They don't know that it is a bull market until they see a sharp rise in prices. When they see a sharp fall in prices, they say it is a bear market, and they use lagging indicators to guide the operation. One result is a loss. When many people watch bears and feel that the bull market is no longer there, when Chinese chives are afraid to cut their meat at a low point, I will start to say something different again. You know I like to talk against the market. We know that this round of midfield starts from over 10,000 months, and the top distribution mode is formed. The distribution mode is up and down, and the terminal plummets into the bottom absorption mode. At that time, it was the first time for the big people to shout bears. I thought that the bull market was still bottoming out. Play all the way to the end of the month and the beginning of the month to form a strong signal point, which is about below 10,000 knives, and then the last support point of the step-back test after the first stage starts in the month. At this time, it is the second time for the adults to shout bear. At that time, I thought that the bull market was still there, and clearly pointed out that it was a step-back test at the end of the month, and then the second stage was started, and it continued to break through around the middle of the month. At the end of the year, there was no second half hint about the next risk. At the beginning of the month, the Kill more for a whole month, and fall below the first stage position. Ten thousand knives are flying down three times. thousands of feet suspects that the market of the Milky Way has fallen for nine days, and the plumb hammer with broken line has been directly inserted into the first stage. In fact, it almost broke. We have come to the present, and we started to shout for bears for the third time. The purpose of writing this article is to think that the bull market is still there and point out that when the bad news is exhausted, only the good ones will remain. If we look at the box with big shocks in the whole midfield, the upper limit is still developing upwards, and the lower limit is from ten thousand knives to ten thousand. The bigger the amplitude of the whole midfield is, the more vigorous the washing is, the more powerful the internal factors are. Even if the bear falls in a bear market, it is almost impossible to fall below the front-wheel bull market. Please review the article about the external factors of the bull market bear. There are several major events to be superimposed on this month's date. Now we can't blindly call it negative or positive, but it is worthy of attention. First, the implementation date of the central bank's RRR cut again is theNo. Remember the last time? Second, it's a key node. The inexplicable panic of leek should have an end. Third, the last meeting of the Federal Reserve this year, although Powell released harsh words in the interview, how long can he be hard at the meeting on interest rates? Anyway, this bull market will be delayed until next year. Even if the Fed has adjusted its actions, it will take years to implement it, and the decision may be released in this meeting in June. In addition, there are some good cards in his hand, such as especially. Yes, the review results are released, such as the approval of the spot that is widely expected. Of course, there are quite a lot of variables here, but people are pointing at their noses and swearing, and they can't be indifferent. What's left after the end of the year? By the way, the case of Aomoto Satoshi v. kleiman's brother and sister has been closed a few days ago, so the judge has not reached a conclusion, so Aomoto Satoshi will not get the kleiman to smash the plate. The story of the encrypted journey is brilliant and wonderful, and he is still continuing to sit still and help to meet the star of WeChat official account's Liu Jiao chain in The ball WeChat official account replies to the planet disclaimer. The contents of this article do not constitute any investment advice. Cryptographic currency is a very high-risk variety with the risk of returning to zero at any time. Please be careful to participate in self-responsibility. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

注册有任何问题请添加 微信：MVIP619 拉你进入群

文章转载注明 网址：https://netpsp.com/?id=46764