直线型思维的韭菜与曲线型思维的庄家

我们每一个人在孩童时总喜欢问：这个是好人还是坏人，这件事情是对的还是错。。。。。。

Every one of us, as a child, likes to ask, "Is this a good person or a bad person?"

但是、如果孩子长大以后还这么问：这个是好人还是坏人，这件事情是对的还是错。。。。。。那么我们的第一反应是这个人是不是弱智！！！

But if the child grows up and asks: Is this a good person or a bad person, is it right or wrong? Then our first reaction is whether this person is retarded?

只有孩子才会关心对错，大人永远讲的都是利益

Only kids care about what's right and what's right and what's right and what's right and what's wrong with them.

英国首相邱吉尔曾经说过：“一个国家没有永远的敌人，也没有永远的朋友，只有永远的利益”（A nation has no permanent enemies and no permanent friends，only permanent interests）

British Prime Minister Churchill once said, "A nation has no permanent enemies and no permanent friends, only permanent interests."

那为什么孩子总是问：好人还是坏人，这件事情是对的还是错的？原因很简单，这是大人对孩子管控的需要。只有对孩子进行对错和好坏的思维灌输，父母和学校才能对孩子进行有效的管理。等孩子长大以后，他们会逐渐发现这个世界没有那么多的对错和好坏之分，对和错是相对的，好和坏也是相对的，那么此时作为国家机器如何对这群已经长大的孩子（也叫成年人）进行有效管控呢，于是法律就成为了所有国民的好和坏、对和错的边际标准。只要你敢越过雷池一步，法律就会教你什么是对的，什么是错的，什么人好人，什么人是坏人。对于这个话题，个人不想具体展开，而且也不是今天讨论的主题。

Then why do children always ask: Good or bad, is it right or wrong? The reason is simple, is the need for adults to control their children. Parents and schools can manage their children effectively only if they are indoctrinated with mistakes and bad thoughts. When they grow up, they will gradually find that the world is free of so many wrongs and wrongs, right or wrong, right or wrong, and that at this time, as a State machine, how to effectively control these grown children (also called adults), the law becomes a marginal standard of good and bad, right or wrong for all citizens. As long as you step over the pool, the law will teach you what is right, what is wrong, what is good, what is good, what is bad, what is bad.

今天探讨的主题有两条线：1、什么是直线型思维和曲线形思维? ?2、币圈中直线型思维的韭菜与曲线型思维的庄家

There are two lines of discussion today: 1; what is straight-line and curved thinking? 2; and the homeowner of straight-line thinking and curved thinking in the currency circles.

1、什么是直线型思维和曲线形思维

1. What is a linear and curved mind?

直线思维简单的说就是对和错，好和坏，做还是不做，吃还是不吃，类似硬币的正反面，和直线一样一根筋的耿直，没有任何的弹性和弯曲。

Straight-line thinking is simple to say that right and wrong, good and bad, doing or not, eating or not eating, like the pros and cons of coins, straight as a straight line, with no elasticity or bending.

比如在大街上看见一个婀娜多姿的年轻背影，99%的男人很自然的认为大概率是美女，结果一路紧赶慢赶，最后的结果往往是——背后看想犯罪，侧面看想撤退，正面看撒腿就跑。

In the street, for example, there was a young shadow of a high profile, and 99 per cent of men naturally thought it was a beautiful woman, and the result was a rush, and the result was often — behind the back, looking for crime, looking for retreat and running for legs.

又如种果树，如果今年桔子价格飙涨，人们就一蜂窝种桔子树，结果来年桔子大丰收了烂大街没人要，于是果农们纷纷砍了桔子树种苹果树，于是下一年桔子价格又暴涨，为什么，因为没人种了，物以稀为贵!

And as a fruit tree, if the price of oranges soars this year, people grow orange trees in a nest, so no one wants oranges in the next year, so the farmers cut orange trees and apple trees in the next year, and the price of oranges soars in the next year. Why, because no one planted them, they're precious!

直线思维习惯看起来是更有效率地解决问题的办法，因此很多人在面临问题时首先考虑的就是如何直截了当地一击即中，却常常是事与愿违。这些看见别人赚钱就跟风种桔子树后又亏钱砍树的果农就是典型的直线思维。

Straight-thinking habits seem to be a more efficient way to solve problems, so the first thing many people think about when facing problems is how to hit them head-on, often against their wishes. These fruit farmers who see others making money and then cutting them off after growing orange trees are typical straight-line thinking.

曲线思维就比较复杂：我们拿遇到乞丐向你乞讨这件事来展开，遇到乞丐向你乞讨时，你在思考我给钱或者不给钱，一个要么给要么不给的决定，这就是直线思维。如果你展开了思考，这个乞丐是不是真的乞丐、或者我到底是给1元还是给10元、如果给了乞丐，等下自己坐公交车还有没有零钱等等，这些就是复杂思维，既曲线思维。

The curved thinking is complicated: when we ask you for a beggar, when you ask you for a beggar, you think that I pay or don't pay, and one decision that I give or don't give, that's straight thinking. If you think, the beggar is really a beggar, or if I give $1 or $10, if I give a beggar, you get yourself on a bus and you don't have any money, that's complicated thinking, and that's a curved thinking.

2、币圈中直线型思维的韭菜与曲线型思维的庄家

2. Dealers of straight-line and curved thinking in currency circles

要说清楚这个部分的的逻辑，我们需要一个引子，类似中药的药引。话说2011年3月因为坊间流传了一个谣言“因为日本核泄漏，现在又发生了海啸，严重污染了海水，到时生产出来的盐是被污染的，不能食用。”短短两天时间，全国所有的超市、食杂店的盐巴就全部被浩浩荡荡的抢盐大军蚕食殆尽。。。。。。据说有的同志直到2018年才吃完当年抢的盐，真不容易啊！

To make the logic of this part clear, we need a guide, similar to the Chinese drug, to say that in March 2011 there was a rumour that “because of the nuclear leak in Japan, there has been another tsunami, which has polluted the sea, and that the salt produced at that time is contaminated and cannot be consumed.” In just two days, all the salt from all the supermarkets and grocery stores in the country has been wiped out by a vast and ravaging army of salt.

这浩浩荡荡抢盐大军涵盖了所有的阶级，在那疯狂的两天时间里，没有学历智商的高低、没有社会阶级的区分，地不分南北，人不分男女老幼，皆负有抢盐屯盐之职责。。。。。

In those two days of madness, which cover all classes, there has been no education, IQ or social class, no distinction between the North and the South, and it is the responsibility of men, women and children alike to take salt and salt.

世上最痛苦的是什么？辐射来了，盐没了；

What's the most painful thing in the world? There's radiation, there's no salt.

世上最最痛苦的是什么？辐射来了，盐不好使；

What's the most painful thing in the world? The radiation comes, the salt doesn't work.

世上最最最痛苦的是什么？辐射没来，盐买太多了；

What's the most painful thing in the world? No radiation, too much salt.

世上最最最最痛苦的是什么？人都快死了，盐还没用完。

What's the most painful thing in the world? People are dying and salt is not running out.

为什么大家在那一瞬间都变成了没有脑子的人，首先是因为恐惧，恐惧未来没有盐吃；其二是外行（或者说不专业信息不对称），我相信那场风波中在盐业公司上班的人是肯定不会去抢盐的；最后是跟风从众心里，单独的个体在强大的群体中是很难不被同化的，三人成虎的故事就是典型的例子。

Why, at that moment, everyone became brainless, first of all because of fear and fear of the future without salt; secondly, because of amateurs (or the asymmetric of unprofessional information), and I am sure that those who worked in salt companies would never steal salt in the wind; and finally, in the minds of the public, it was very difficult for a single individual to be unassimilated in a powerful group, and the story of three tigers was a typical example.

接着我们来聊聊币圈中直线型思维的韭菜与曲线型思维的庄家

And then we'll talk to the dealer of straight-line thinking and curved thinking in the currency circles.

最近由于中美贸易战引起了猪肉价格暴涨，单线思维的人（韭菜）肯定是摩拳擦掌的准备大规模养猪了，最后的结果一定是和上文种果农一样。那么曲线思维的人（主力）会怎么看猪肉涨价呢，首先猪肉上涨肯定是短期的，因为中美长期僵持不不现实的，美国不出口猪肉，猪肉只能臭掉埋掉，中国不进口猪肉，肉价涨上天不符合人民群众的根本利益。于是有猪场的养殖户高位套现卖成品猪，没有猪场的养殖户按兵不动。

Recently, the price of pork rose sharply as a result of the Chinese-American trade war, and the single-minded must have been prepared to raise pigs on a large scale. The end result must be the same as that of the above-mentioned farmers.

我知道如果说币圈里的韭菜99%都是直线型思维的，肯定很多人不服气，我有那么傻吗，胡扯蛋！兄弟你别急，听我慢慢道来：每一个刚入市的韭菜或者说新币民或者新赌友，进入币市之前社会分工不同，智商情商不同，社会阅历不同，收入也不同，但是只要在币市待久了，99%的人都会变成直线型思维，为什么？

I know that if 99% of the groceries in the currency ring are straight-line thinking, I'm sure there's a lot of people who don't like it.

因为你们会在无数次的买卖过程中，发现自己不论是通过基本分析，还是通过消息面操盘，或者做了N次的盘前盘中盘后的技术面研究和分析，最后的结果总是亏多赢少！

Because in the course of countless deals, you'll find out whether you've been through basic analysis or computer games, or you've been doing research and analysis of the technology behind the N-drive. The final result is always less and less!

举例技术分析里的低位放量进场，高位放量出局：

For example, the low drop-in field in the technical analysis, the high drop-out:

首先低只是高的相对，低还有更低，高还有更高，没有绝对的高也没有绝对的低。牛市里的低位放量往往是行情的开始，然而熊市里的低位放量却大概率是下跌中继，因为对后市绝望，因为资金链断裂，主力资金通过小幅拉升放量吸引跟风盘自己出逃。平衡震荡市里的低位放量更折磨人，因为大环境不明确，主力即使通过低位放量建仓也会很快的进行打压洗筹，上上下下的不断折磨韭菜。

The first is high relative, lower, higher, and no absolute, lower. Low levels in cattle are often the beginning of behavior, but low levels in bear cities are likely to fall in the middle, because of despair in the latter, because the money chain is broken, and the main funds attract the windmills themselves through small lifts. Low levels in balanced concussion markets are more painful, because the environment is not clear, and the main forces, even through low-level storage, will be pressured very quickly to prepare and torture vegetables up and down.

高位放量也一样，强势币种通过短期大幅放量拉升后进入派发阶段，在牛市里由于跟风盘蜂拥而至，主力甚至可以坐韭菜的轿子一路高位派发，成交量不断放大，技术图形上价格一个山峰接一个更高的山峰，成交量一个山头高过一个山头，你怎么判断那一个山头才是真正的高位放量？；反之在熊市中由于跟风盘不踊跃，主力在派发之前会反复制造虚假成交量，然后正常拉升，高位震荡派发，由于拉伸之前已经通过制造虚假成交量，所以在派发时反而显的成交量相对较小，完美的掩护了主力在高位派发的事实。

The same is true of high-level spending, where powerful currencies enter the distribution phase through large and short-term liftings, where the main force, even the saloons that can sit on the platinum, have a high distribution and are constantly magnified, where the technical graphics price a mountain with a higher peak and a mountain with a higher height than a hill, and how do you judge that mountain as a true height? In the bear city, because of the lack of a rudder, the main force will create a false match before dispatch, then normally pull it up, and the high-stretched wing, which, because of the fact that the stretching has already been made by making a false match, is relatively small in its distribution, and the perfect cover for the fact that the main force is in the higher band.

接着说看消息操盘，在没有杠杠玩法以前，利好出局是币圈公认的玩法，但是杠杠出现以后，这个玩法就变成了主力和韭菜的捉迷藏游戏，利好消息公布，正常情况下，大家利好出局，但是有加杠杠的币种可能就反着来了，你们都觉得利好出局，主力猛的一个发力，币价直线拉升，碾压爆完所有的做空盘。

Then we go to the news game, where, before there was no bar, the winning game was a well-known currency game, but when the bar appeared, it became a game of hide-and-seek for the main force and the pick-up. Good news came out.

最后说基本面分析，币圈里基本面分析和炒股一模一样，都是靠蒙，最多分析个五成，各种包装，各种软文，每一个都让人看了云里雾里的。没出事都是好人，出了事都是劣迹斑斑。

Finally, basic analysis, basic analysis in the currency circle, and the exact same stock market, are blindfolded, with a maximum of 50% analysis, all kinds of packaging, all kinds of soft language, every one of which shows up in the clouds. Nothing happens to a good person, nothing happens to a bad person.

于是这三轮下来，技术面分析的韭菜、基本面分析的韭菜、看消息操盘的韭菜全部歇菜，于是沦落为一个每天看币论，看各路大神胡咧咧，凭着一股不甘心不服气的信念各种追涨杀跌神操作，最后在币市里完全迷失了自己。

So these three rounds, the technically analysed pickles, the basic-faced pickles, the news-reading pickles, were all cut off, and then fell into a daily currency theory, and the roads were ravishing, with all kinds of stump-and-drop operations based on unconscionable beliefs, and were completely lost in the currency market.

牛市末期，韭菜在狂热中大举建仓，主力在狂热中悄悄撤离。。。。。

At the end of the cow town, the groceries were built up in fanaticism, and the main forces quietly withdrew in fanaticism.

熊市后期，韭菜低价割肉挥泪离场，主力低价进场耐心吸筹。。。。。

Late in the bear city, the pickles left at a low price, and the main force entered the field at a low price for patient insinuation.

茫茫币海，随风飘荡，何处靠岸？

Where are we going to land?

老哥我送你币海明灯，听好了：抓住上轮牛市中没有暴涨过的主流币、没有暴涨过的有基本面支持底部横盘已久的山寨币，按月定投，现在的价格在未来都是历史的低价。

I'll give you the sea light, and listen to this: catching the main currency that has never swollen in the city of Upper Bulls, and the base that has never swollen, with its long-standing base of support, is on a monthly basis, and now prices are historically low in the future.

没有只涨不跌的牛市，也没有只跌不涨的熊市，更没有永远的震荡市。。。。。

There is not a city of cattle that rises and does not fall, nor does there be a city of bears, nor is there a city of shocks for ever.

一年四季，春夏秋冬是自然的规律，冬天总会过去的，请再多一点的耐心！！！！

Four seasons a year, spring, summer, autumn and winter are the laws of nature. Winter will pass. More patience!

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