比特币以太坊下行通道渐显或为诱空，两大利好或助力慢牛行情
今日，比特币从32600美金附近反弹至33800美金附近后再次受阻回落，日线五连阴，下行通道再次开启的趋势有逐步显现的迹象。以太坊从2350美金附近反弹至2500美金附近也是受阻回落的情况，虽然没有出现日线五连阴的情况，但是如果无法站稳2500美金，就有可能下探2300美金，一旦跌破这个位置，以太坊就再次确立了下行通道。下行通道一旦确立，可能要用一两周走出来。从目前的情况来看，这两货运行到收敛型三角区末端之后，都选择了下跌，而且之后的一两周有可能再次探底或者是筑底横盘。目前，主力是不按套路出牌的，之前一旦确立就很难打破的趋势，现在似乎是说变就变，而且变到多头怀疑人生。老大和老二不想带动市场，其他的小山寨也不会好到哪儿去，所以近期观望为主。
Today, when Bitcoin rebounded from around $32,600 to around $33,800, it was blocked again, and the sun line was closed five times, and there were signs of re-opening the down lanes again. In the present case, both freight routes have opted for decline from the end of the recovery triangle from $2350 to $2,500, and it is likely that the next week or two will be followed by another search or turn-over.
今日市值前10币种近24H资金流入
市值排名前10的币种说来说去还是那些币种，说明目前的加密市场还是那个加密市场，“主干”没有变动，变动的都是些“细枝末节”，逼近这些币种的龙头位置是市场资金长期选择的结果，岂能被小山寨说撼动就撼动，除非这个小山寨本身就很牛，比如USDC，人家可是背靠Coinbase和Circle的。俗话说，大树底下好乘凉，就是这个意思。 In the first 10 currencies, the market is still in those currencies, indicating that the current encryption market is still the one, that the “master” has not changed, and that all the changes have been in the “twigs”, and that pushing these currencies closer to the top is the result of a long-term choice of market funds, and that they can not be shaken by the small mountain fortress, unless it is a big one, such as the USDC, that relies on Coinbase and the Circle. That's what the old saying is. 换个角度来说，这些龙头涨不动的话，其他小山寨就休想太嗨。马斯克也有一个推特使比特币拉升6000美金的动作，后来发现比特币上涨对他没好处，所有去撩狗狗币了，因为狗狗币代表反精英文化，能够借力老马在美国的影响力，得到美国草根阶层的共鸣，进一步扩大马斯克的影响力。正当它撩狗撩得欢得时候，发现自己捧红的动物币没过多久就凉了，比特币不动，狗狗币也动不了，于是被迫又把推特头像改成激光眼。这在一定程度上说明，想要知道整个加密市场得情况，看看公链、DeFi、波卡生态的龙头基本就可以了。 In a different way, these dragons will not get too high in other caves. Mask also has a Twitter action that puts bitcoin up by $6,000, and later finds that bitcoin rises are not good for him, and all go to puppies, because the puppies represent the anti-eligan culture, can use the influence of the old horse in the United States, gain the resonance of the grass roots of the United States, and further expand the influence of the mosk. As he gets happy, he finds that his red animal coins are cold, that bitcoins are not moving, that dogs are not moving, and that he is forced to turn their Twitter head into a laser eye. This suggests, to some extent, that it is necessary to know what the entire encryption market is like, and look at what is basically the dragon head of the public chain, DeFi, Boca ecology. 昨天，6亿人民币左右的资金选择USDT和USDC，表明市场流动性宽松，只不过由于目前嘴炮太多，不方便“开路”而已。到了今天，嘴炮暂时消停了，这些资金果然作出了各自的选择。值得注意的是，今天超过80亿人民币的资金在最近24小时内选择了比特币，表明即便比特币418暴跌之后行情差强人意，但是市场依旧认同 “饿死的比特币比山寨币强”。 Yesterday, the RMB 600 million or so funding option USDT and USDC showed that the market was flexible, but that it was not easy to “open” because there was too much talk at the moment. By today’s time, the guns had been cut off, and the funds had made their own choices. 消息动态 news dynamic 今天，Coinbase上线了GTC、MLN、AMP这三个币种，不过逢上线Coinbase必上涨的好事却没有发生在这两个币种身上。之所以会出现这种情况，一方面跟目前大盘行情有关，一方面可能跟市场对Coinbase上市后能不能坚守合规持有将信将疑的态度有关。Coinbase上市后由于比特币表现不太行，Coinbase股价是整体下跌的趋势，被迫上线有市场操纵嫌疑的狗狗币以及上市前因为监管透明度问题被放弃的USDT。在这种情况下，因为合规性遭到质疑造成“上币效应”逐渐消失，也不是说没有合理性。 Today, Coinbase went online in the GTC, MLN, and AMP currencies, although the good news of the inevitable rise in the online Coinbase did not happen in those two currencies. This situation is related, on the one hand, to the current big deal, and, on the other hand, to the market’s skepticism about whether or not to hold on to Coinbase’s compliance once he is on the market. When Coinbase went on the market, Coinbase’s stock price was an overall downward trend, forcing him to go on the line with a puppies suspected of market manipulation, and, on the other hand, to give up USDTs because of regulatory transparency problems. 虽然Coinbase因为比特币下跌拖累股价，但是某些机构对比特币的兴趣似乎没有因此减少，一方面，马斯克在比特币跌破2.5万美金/枚，就是特斯拉持仓成本之前是不会出售比特币的，否则要激光眼干啥；美图方面，在以太坊跌破1480美元/枚，就是美图持仓陈本之前也是不可以被出售的，而且尽管比特币已经跌破其5.3万美金持仓价，但是暂时没有消息证实美图是否打算出售比特币；MicroStrategy在比特币跌破2.4美金/枚，就是MicroStrategy持仓陈本之前，估计也不会卖出比特币，因为虽然比特币在特朗普嘴炮的推动下深夜插针，但是MicroStrategy偏偏选择在这个时间点宣布将比特币相关的垃圾债券交易推高至5亿美元，死多头无疑了。 Although Coinbase’s interest in Bitcoin did not appear to have diminished as a result of the fall in bitcoins, on the one hand, Maske’s interest in Bitcoins fell by $25,000/mere, which was that Tesla would not sell bitcoins until the cost of the warehouse was held, or that lasers would have done nothing; on the other hand, it was unlikely that the dollar would have been sold until it had fallen in the courthouse by $1480/mere, that is, before it had been sold, because, while Bitco’s price had fallen by $53,000, there was little information to confirm that the map was about to sell bitcoins; and on the other hand, MicroStrategy, which had fallen in bitcoins by $2.4/mere, which was that MicroStrategy would not have sold bitcoins until it had been sold, because, while Bitcoins had been pushed by the Trump cannon, MicroStrategy had preferred to announce at that point that it would have been higher than $500 million dollars in the scrap deals associated with the currency. 当然，机构的兴趣和Coinbase上币都不是今天市场的最大看点。今天市场的最大看点是，萨尔瓦多国会最终投票批准总统提交的比特币作为法定货币的提案，最终在84票中获得62票，意味着萨尔瓦多正式成为世界首个比特币合法的国家，比特币已经进一步的主流化了。 Of course, institutional interest and Coinbase’s upper currency are not the biggest sights of today’s market. Today’s market’s biggest observation is that El Salvador’s Congress finally voted to approve the President’s proposal for Bitcoin as a legal currency, which eventually received 62 votes in 84 votes, means that El Salvador is officially the first legal country in the world to be a bitcoin, and that bitcoin has been further mainstreamed. 就像江卓尔说的那样，萨尔瓦多经营得好的话，有望成为加密货币的开曼群岛，而加密货币和离岸金融又是绝配，懂的人都懂，不排除后续各离岸金融中心也陆续支持比特币。从长远来说，这是本年度比特币最大的利好，超过美国比特币ETF通过、苹果公司购买比特币等短期资金利好，以后对 “比特币没有政府背书，没有价值” 可以直接怼回去 “离岸金融中心将比特币作为法定货币”。今天是历史性的一天。 As Jiangchallor has said, El Salvador is expected to operate well as an encrypt Cayman Islands currency, while cryptic money and offshore finance are well matched, understood by everyone, not excluding subsequent offshore financial centres from supporting Bitcoin as well. In the long run, this is the best bitcoin in the year ahead, better than short-term funds such as Bitcoin's passage through the United States and Apple's purchase of bitcoin, and then “bitcoin has no government endorsement and has no value” to go back directly to “offshore financial centres using bitcoin as the legal currency.” Today is an historic day. 不过，由于比特币的交易确认速度慢、波动性大。这个法案能够得到民众的广泛接受，还是有一定的不确定性。值得关注的是，加密货币在现实世界中的角色是，恶性通胀下的资产“保护伞”，苛捐杂税下的财富“避风港”、西方经济限制下的反限制工具，因为选择加密货币的小国往往是这些情况，否则谁会放弃监管权在自己手中的法币，去接受自己可能管不了的代币。所以，从这个角度来看，这个消息对市场的影响是有限的，谈不上颠覆之类的。 However, because Bitcoin’s transactions are recognized as slow and volatile, there is some uncertainty that the bill can be widely accepted by the public. It is a matter of concern that the role of crypto-currency in the real world is that the asset “protective umbrella” under hyperinflation, the wealth “safe haven” under heavy taxes, and the counter-restrictive instruments under Western economic restrictions, because this is often the case in small countries that choose encrypted currency, otherwise who would abandon the regulatory power in their own hands to accept a currency that they may not be able to handle. 话又说回来，死多头的支持以及比特币的主流化，本身就有利于更多资金增量在合适的时间节点入场，从而使得比特币在有交易量支撑的情况下拉升，长期来看属于推动加密市场走出慢牛行情的重大因素，毕竟比特币主流化是需要时间的。 In return, dead-end support and the mainstreaming of bitcoin in itself have facilitated the entry of more capital increases at the right time node, thus enabling bitcoin to rise when supported by trading volumes, which in the long run has been a major factor in pushing the crypto market out of slow cow movement, after all that it takes time to mainstream bitcoin. 近日，FBI直接将黑客组织索取美国最大成品油管道运营商Colonial Pipeline得到的比特币，在不透露的方式破获了黑客的私钥的情况下全部没收了。这样一来，几乎同时击碎了比特币目前最大的两个卖点：政府监管和安全性。有人不禁要问，当技术发展，比特币最引以为豪的例如匿名、绝对安全等特性被破解后，比特币的价值在哪？对想用比特币干坏事的人来说，技术的发展会使比特币失去价值，但是一旦这些人对比特币失去兴趣，市场对比特币用于违法活动的误解也可能会瓦解，流入比特币的资金可能会全都干净起来，这反倒是比特币主流化的又一个利好，这也是加密市场或将慢牛的逻辑之一。 In recent days, the FBI has taken hacker organizations directly into account the bitcoin that was obtained by the largest oil pipeline operator in the United States, Colonial Pipeline, and confiscated it all in undisclosed ways, but once these people lose interest in bitcoin, the market misperceptions about the use of bitcoin for illegal activities may collapse, and the money flowing into bitco is likely to be clean. This is another advantage of the mainstreaming of bitcoins, which is also one of the logic of encryption markets or slow cattle. 今日比特币情况 The Bitcoin Situation Today 昨天，比特币遭空头抛压，跌破35000美金关口、34000美金关口、33000美金关口，并且在31000附近找到了支撑，阴阳并列之后按照常规玩法小幅反弹至33800美金，在这个位置犹豫了一会儿之后，选择上攻34500美金，却因为这个位置的支撑力度不够小幅回撤。目前，比特币日线五连阴，日内连续两次小幅反弹都以受阻回落告终，表明最近的反弹可能是此轮回调行情下跌中继，本周内将有可能继续下探测试31000美金关口。 Yesterday, Bitcoin fell through a void, broke the $35,000 gate, the $34,000 gate, the $33,000 gate, and found support in the vicinity of 31,000. After hesitating for a while, after a small rebound to $33,800 in accordance with the usual pattern, Bitcoin chose to go up to $34,500 because the position was not backed back enough. Currently, five pieces of the Bitcoin line and two small rebounds in the day ended in a setback, suggesting that the most recent rebound could be the fall of the round, and that 日K来看，比特币是在刺破BOLL带下轨的情况下缩量反弹的。整体来看是窄震下行趋势。虽然快线仍然运行在慢线上方，但是MACD绿色能量柱与日俱减，又绿翻红的迹象。日内可以关注31500美金的支撑有效性。如果这个位置能够提供足够的支撑，则可能上攻37000美金，否则又可能测试29000-31000美金附近。目前，BOLL带上中下轨线运行相对平缓，而且多空双方的成交量都比较低迷，所以震荡是后市主旋律，而且这种震荡的背后可能是下行风险的积累，市场可能需要从本周的美联储讲话和通胀数据寻找答案。 It looks like Bitcoin rebounded when it broke BOLL's track. Overall, it's a narrow downward trend. Although the fast line is still running on the slow line, the MACD green energy poles are shrinking and turning green. You can look at the validity of the 31,500 dollars in support. If this position is enough, it might be $37,000, or it could test around $29,000-31,000. For now, BOLL's middle and lower rail lines are running relatively flat, and both sides have low numbers, so the tremors are post-market rotations, and the shock may be backed by down risk accumulations, and the market may need to find answers from this week's Fed speech and inflation data . 4小时级别，比特币今天凌晨实现阴阳并列之后，走出了之前五连阴构筑的下行通道。不过，这种给人一夜回到解放前赶脚的回撤似乎给这次反转持续性打了个问号。从4小时级别成交量上看，这轮探底远低于5月24日探底的量，这是个典型的大双底形态，走势在31000上方形成坚实底部并开启反弹的概率也不是说没有，取决于本周后半段反弹力量复苏情况。 The four-hour scale, the four-hour scale, followed by Bitcoin's juxtaposition in the early hours of this morning, walked out of the previous five-coloured downward tunnel. However, this one-night retreat back to the pre-liberation leg appears to be a question mark for the continuity of the reverse. From the four-hour scale, the bottom of the search is far below the 24 May probe, a typical large double-bottom pattern, and the probability that 今日以太坊情况 昨天，以太坊遭空头抛压，在跌破2700美金、2600美金、2500美金关口之后，没有选择下探2150美金附近，而是止跌于2300美金并缩量反弹至2500美金，脱离之前4根阴线构筑的下行通道。今天多空双方在这个位置展开争夺。近期，以太坊刚从2850美金附近大幅回落至2400美金附近，经过仅有100美金的反弹之后，再次探底，虽然探底之后是缩量反弹至2550美金附近，但是一根阴线就抹去近半数反弹幅度。由此可见，以太坊的反弹力度弱到仅需一根小阴线就毁掉，而且反弹得一点持续性也没有，表明最近的反弹也可能是此轮回调行情下跌中继，本周内将有可能继续下探测试2250美金附近。 Yesterday, after falling through $2,700, $2,600 and $2,500, the Tai Evenings did not choose to explore the vicinity of $2150. Instead, they fell down to $2,300 and bounced back to $2,500 from the downpass built by the four previous vaginas. Today, many parties competed in this location. Recently, after falling back from $2850 to $2,400, after a rebound of only $100, it was possible to continue to test 2250 next week . 日K线来看，目前K线在BOLL带中下轨之间缩量运行。一方面，在0轴下方的双线已经是粘合交汇的情况，而且BOLL带三条轨线比较平缓，表明多空拉锯之下短期或将延续震荡走势。值得关注的是，目前买盘和卖盘的成交量都比较低迷，而且从MACD多头能量柱近乎于无的情形里看，空头暂时主导盘面。日内是否下探至2200美金附近值得关注，因为如果日内跌破2200美金，则可能继续下探至2000美金以下，使下行通道再次打开的局面确立，这是最坏的情况。从目前暂时没有出现可以被主力用来制造恐慌达到砸盘目的的消息，下周或将在2300-2700美金附近震荡。 On the one hand, the double line below the zero axis is already glued, and the three tracks below the BOLL are relatively flat, indicating short-term or continuing shock movements. It is a matter of concern that there is currently a relatively low turnover between buying and selling plates, and that, in the near-nil scenario of the MACD multiple energy poles, 4小时级别，MACD空方能量柱正在缩减，而且0轴下方的快线有拐头向上并与同样在0轴下方的慢线金叉的趋势，一旦这个金叉确立，是可以提供回踩动能的，尽管0轴下方的金叉对价格的提振不太有力。即便如此，如果这个金叉形成，至少可能说明跌破2300美金造成以太坊再次进入下行通道的可能性变小。不过，由于BOLL带的三条轨线还是整体下行的趋势，而且最近的反弹属于缩量反弹的情况，所以短期窄震下行的可能性还是有的。不过，只要没有重回下行通道，下行的空间就会比较有限。 At the four-hour level, the MACD empty energy column is shrinking, and the fast line below the 0 axis is tending to turn upwards with the same slow-line gold fork below the 0-axis. Once this gold fork is established, it is possible to provide a backscaling energy, although the gold fork below the 0-axis is less powerful for price boosts. Even so, if this gold fork is formed, at least $2,300 may suggest that the risk of re-entering the lower route with the talisman is less likely. However, given that the three tracks in the BOLL belt are still trending down as a whole, and that the recent rebound is a backlash, there is a possibility that the short-term narrow tremors of will be possible. 本文来自微信公众号 币圈事，如有侵权请及时联系。觉得不错的币友可以关注 点赞 评论 支持下哦，有其它币种问题也可以留言咨询！ . This post is from the Twitter public. Contact in time if you are in violation of the rights. 声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。 Statement: The article is for information purposes only and does not constitute an investment proposal.
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