把握BTC走势关键点：阴跌触底再次考验，变数引发大动荡!!!
大饼（比特币）近半个月以来持续阴跌，从72000美元跌至62900美元，跌幅超过9000美元，约为12%。本周线开盘即突破了布林带中轨，这是一个极为危险的信号。自去年10月以来首次跌破中轨，此前多次未能突破72000美元的高点，已多次提示市场在高位逢高减仓的重要性。这种走势类似于2019年5月19日的市场表现，预示可能面临更大的下跌压力。
For almost half a month now, the Big Bread (bitcoin) has continued to slump, falling from $72,000 to $62,900, or more than $9,000, or about 12%. The opening of this week’s line, which breaks the middle track in the Brenn belt, is an extremely dangerous signal.
市场盘面持续呈现阴跌格局，多次反弹尝试未能突破关键压力位而遭遇下行压力。尽管65000美元附近形成下降楔形态势，但反弹乏力导致持续下跌的风险加大。
The market has continued to have a downward pattern, with repeated rebound attempts failing to break through critical pressure positions and downward pressure. Despite a downward spiral around $65,000, the risk of a persistent decline has increased as a result of a weak rebound.
专业分析与建议
professional analysis and recommendations
技术信号分析： 周线突破布林带中轨表明市场中长期走势的不确定性增加，可能预示进一步的下行趋势。
Technology Signal Analysis: The wiring through the middle of the Boolean belt indicates increased uncertainty about the long-term trends in the market and may portend further downward trends.
风险提示： 虽然65000美元附近形成下降楔形态，但反弹乏力暗示市场支撑力量不足，可能继续面临下行风险。
Risk reminder: , although there is a downward spiral around $65,000, the backlash suggests that market support is insufficient and may continue to be exposed to downside risks.
策略建议： 投资者应保持警惕，及时调整仓位和风险管理策略，考虑在适当的反弹时段谨慎减仓或设置严格的止损措施。
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2024年6月7日 - 欧洲央行5年来首次降息；BTC多次在72000美元水平受挫，需密切关注的短期事项 7 June 2024 - The European Central Bank reduced interest rates for the first time in five years; BTC suffered multiple setbacks at $72,000 levels and short-term matters requiring close attention 2024年6月7日，欧洲央行宣布了自5年来首次降息的消息。与此同时，比特币（BTC）在72000美元附近遭遇了重大阻力多次。交易者应当对关键的短期市场动态保持警惕。 On 7 June 2024, the European Central Bank announced its first interest reduction in five years. At the same time, the Bitcoin (BTC) encountered a number of major resistances around $72,000. 2024年6月11日 - 摩根大通做空万亿美元黄金期货；美元指数持续波动；加密货币市场将如何应对？ 11 June 2024 - Morgan Chase makes trillion dollars in gold futures; the dollar index continues to fluctuate; how will the encrypted currency market respond? 到了2024年6月11日，摩根大通开始了万亿美元的黄金期货空头头寸，而美元指数则继续波动不定。加密货币市场将如何应对这些宏观经济变化？ By June 11, 2024, Morgan Chase began a trillion-dollar gold futures empty position, while the dollar index continues to fluctuate. How will the encrypted currency market respond to these macroeconomic changes? 2024年6月12日 - 周线图显示潜在"M"形态；现货市场建议高位减仓；警惕5月19日市场暴跌重演！ 12 June 2024 - The biweekly map shows potential "M" patterns; spot market suggests high downs; watch for a repeat of the 19 May market crash! 2024年6月12日，周线图表明可能形成的熊市"M"形态。与此同时，现货市场建议考虑在高位进行盈利了结，并且提高警惕，以防止5月19日类似的市场崩盘再次发生。 On June 12, 2024, the biographical chart showed a possible "M" form of the bear city. At the same time, the spot market suggested considering a profit-making settlement at a high level and increasing vigilance to prevent a similar market crash on May 19. 2024年6月13日 - BTC经历多空双杀；CRV面临潜在的暴雷风险；下行趋势持续 截至2024年6月13日，比特币经历了价格波动剧烈的多空对决。同时，Curve DAO Token（CRV）面临潜在的高度波动风险，突显出持续的下行趋势。 By 13 June 2024, Bitcoin had experienced a highly volatile multi-air counteroffer. At the same time, Curve DAO Token (CRV) was exposed to potentially high volatility risk, highlighting a continuing downward trend. 2024年6月14日 - 在强大压力下屡遭拒绝；日线图显示双阴夹阳；预料可能出现急剧下跌！ 2024年6月14日，比特币在强大的卖压下再次遭遇拒绝。日线图表明出现了双阴线和阳线交替的现象，预示可能会出现急剧下跌的风险。 On 14 June 2024, Bitcoin was again rejected under strong sales pressure. The sun charts indicate a double-circumcial overlap with the sunline, which portends the risk of a sharp fall. 对比特币（大饼）而言，周线显示已经形成了熊市M头形态，跌破了BOLL中轨和MA120，并且未有二次反弹测试即继续下跌。下一步将继续考验60600至62000美元的箱体底部支撑区间。该区间预计将迎来一波短期反弹，因此做空操作需要谨慎。 In the case of Bitcoin, the perimeter shows a bear city M head pattern, which breaks the BOLL track and MA120, and continues to fall without a second rebound test. The next step will continue to test the 60,600 to 62,000-dollar subside support zone, where a wave of short-term rebounds is expected, thus requiring caution in empty operations. 在月线图上，持续高位震荡达四个月，RSI已跌破超买区域，KDJ显示高位死叉迹象。周线MACD显示持续下跌趋势，RSI和KDJ也表现出拐头向下的迹象。 On the map of the moon, there were continued high shocks of up to four months, RSI had fallen into the overpurchase area, and KDJ showed signs of high fork. The line MACD showed a continuing downward trend, and RSI and KDJ showed signs of downwards. 总体而言，大周期显示出看空的信号。首次抄底机会预计在59600至62000美元之间，第二次在55000至56552美元，而第三次机会则可能出现在43000至45000美元（在极端情况下）。投资者应保持耐心，并密切关注市场的进展。 In general, the cycle shows an empty signal. The first opportunity is expected to be between $59,600 and $62,000, the second between $55,000 and $56552, and the third, possibly between $43,000 and $45,000 (in extreme cases). Investors should be patient and keep a close eye on market progress. 以太均在日线图上继续在三角形内部震荡，即将再次测试3355美元的支撑水平。周线图显示触及BOLL中轨并有跌破的风险较大，MACD显示空中漏油的现象。目前，以太仍受比特币市场的影响，即使7月4日以太现货ETF获得批准，也难以改变当前的市场趋势。此外，需要注意的是，一旦通过，类似比特币现货ETF的情况可能会引发抛售。 Even if approved on July 4, it will be difficult to change current market trends. Moreover, it needs to be noted that, once adopted, a situation similar to that of the spot ETF in Bitcoin could trigger a sale. 在美元指数表现不稳定的时候，建议投资者保持观望，尽量少操作。美元全球潮汐的影响仍在继续，而对美元降息的预期也在持续进行。个人看法认为，除非美元指数显示疲软，否则短期内不太可能降息。当前，美元正面临106的关键压力区间，而106至107的压力区域尤为重要。我们将持续更新市场动态。? At a time when the dollar index is not stable, investors are advised to keep their eyes open and operate as little as possible. The impact of the dollar’s global tide is continuing, and expectations of the dollar’s falling are continuing. Personally, unless the dollar index shows weakness, it is unlikely that interest rates will fall in the short term.
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以太均未独立于比特币市场，周线图显示其即将再次测试BOLL中轨支撑，反映出强烈的下行趋势。连续四周下跌的走势可能将继续，目标是3355美元，此区间已经出现两次插针底部的迹象。
Neither is independent of the Bitcoin market, and the biographical chart shows that it is about to test back-up in the BOLL medium-track again, reflecting a strong downward trend. The downward trend of four consecutive weeks may continue, with a target of $3355, and there are already signs of two infusions at the bottom of the needle.
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