一时繁荣而已？德银最新调查：比特币今年年底可能跌破2万美元大关

三分之一的受调者预计比特币今年年底将跌破2万美元，38%的人预计它终将“清零”。

One third of the respondents expected that Bitcoin would fall by $20,000 by the end of the year, and 38 per cent expected that it would eventually be “zero”.

根据德意志银行的一项调查，尽管在价格上存在分歧，但许多人对比特币的质疑态度有所缓和。

According to a survey conducted by the Deutsche Bank, despite price differences, many people in Bitcoin have eased their questioning.

德意志银行的这一调查有3600名消费者受访，其中约三分之一的人预计，到今年年底，这种全球最大的加密货币将跌至2万美元以下。

This survey by Deutsche Bank was visited by 3,600 consumers, of whom about one third of `strange' expected that by the end of this year the world's largest encoded currency would fall below $20,000.

这意味着，比特币将较当前价格暴跌约5万美元，并使其回到2022年“加密寒冬”期间的水平。只有10%的人认为比特币到12月底将超过7.5万美元。

This means that Bitcoin will plunge about $50,000 over current prices and bring it back to its 2022 “encrypted winter” level. Only 10% of believe that Bitcoin will exceed $75,000 by the end of December.

其中52%的受访者表示，加密货币将成为未来“重要的资产类别和支付交易方式”，而在去年9月的一项调查中，只有不到40%的人这样认为，此外，认为加密货币“只是风靡一时的时尚”的人数下降到不到1%。

Fifty-two per cent of those interviewed said that cryptographic currency would become a “important asset class and payment transaction” in the future, whereas in a survey last September, less than 40 per cent thought so, and the number of people who considered encrypted currency to be “only fashionful for a while” fell to less than 1 per cent.

约40%的受访者对比特币在未来几年的繁荣充满信心，但38%的人预计它将会消失。

About 40% of the respondents, Bitcoin, is confident in the prosperity of the next few years, but 38% are expected to disappear.

截至周二美盘前，比特币运行在70000美元上方，其在3月中旬曾达到了73798美元的历史高点。此外，比特币今年以来凭借67%的涨幅大幅跑赢全球股票和黄金等传统资产。

By Tuesday, Bitcoin was above $70,000, and in mid-March it had reached a historic high of $73798. Moreover, bitcoin has won traditional assets like global equities and gold with a 67% increase since this year.

大量资金流入成立仅3个月的美国现货比特币ETF提振了这一代币，并导致支持者辩称，加密需求将扩大。

A significant inflow of funds into the United States spot ETF, which was established only three months ago, boosted the currency and led supporters to argue that the need for encryption would expand.

而批评者则认为，比特币没有内在价值，纯粹是一个“投机游乐场”，并终将迎来一场不可避免的清算。

Critics argue that Bitcoin has no intrinsic value, is simply a “speculatory playground” and will eventually lead to an inevitable liquidation.

德意志银行分析师表示，预计比特币的价格未来将受到减半、监管完善、各国央行降息、以及美国证券交易委员会（SEC）将批准现货以太坊ETF的预期的支撑。

According to German bank analysts,

比特币本月将经历所谓的减半，这是一个四年一度的大事件，会大幅削减新比特币的供应，一些人认为这是一股看涨的顺风。 Banrion Capital首席投资策略师Victoria Bills表示：

The so-called halving of Bitcoin this month, a four-year big event that will significantly reduce the supply of new bitcoin, is seen by some as a positive windfall. According to Victoria Bills, the chief investment strategist of Banrian Capital:

“由于即将到来的减半，你会看到很多人持续进入这一市场。”返回搜狐，查看更多

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