Bankless:宏观因素主导叙事 经济动荡重创比特币

币圈资讯 阅读:71 2024-05-02 11:19:56 评论:0
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66 万美元, 比特币价格下跌且市场变得动荡不安。加密货币交易者认为山寨币领跌,但他们也看好抛售潮可能已经结束。尽管短期价格预测总是不确定的,但加密货币多头仍然对资产估值的未来充满信心。方舟投资的首席执行官将其比特币价格目标上调至 230 万美元,并指出如果机构投资者的兴趣增加,比特币的价格可能会高达 380 万美元。加密行业可能即将迎来迄今为止最严峻的考验。 同时,美国经济在2023年第三季度减少了19.2万个就业岗位。这一数字比美国非农就业岗位的月度数据高出68.6万,引发了市场参与者对数据可靠性的担忧。职位空缺和劳动力流动调查显示,3月份的职位空缺降至2021年2月以来的最低水平,其中建筑行业职位空缺降幅创历史新高。同时,招聘人数降至2018年以来的最低水平,每名失业者对应的职位空缺比率以及辞职率都已降至接近疫情前水平,这表明虽然存在寻找和保留工作的需求,但雇主对劳动力的需求却很低。在大宗商品市场,石油价格今早暴跌近3%。这表明未来经济增长可能存在不确定性,对关键商品的需求产生影响。此外,美国制造业数据也加剧了经济担忧。虽然美联储决定将目标利率维持在5.66万美元,但市场仍然表现不稳定。```html

市场仅上涨了5%,但委员会向市场释放了一个利好惊喜,使风险资产从最初的声明中反弹。美联储宣布将从6月份开始每月将资产负债表中的国债规模从600亿美元减少到250亿美元,考虑到回购到期证券的增加需求,此举将支撑收益率。

美联储坚持认为,直到出现明显向其长期2%通胀目标迈进的迹象,将利率维持在高位。然而,经济正开始显露出疲软迹象。

如果需求恶化继续拖累价格,那么一旦降息开始,美联储能否刺激经济走出衰退就不得而知了,因为历史上降息往往伴随着经济状况的恶化。

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Currency traders believe that counterfeit currency leads the decline, but they are also optimistic that the selling tide may have ended. Although short-term price forecasts are always uncertain, currency bulls are still full of confidence in the future of asset valuation. The CEO of Ark Investment raised his bitcoin price target to $10,000, and pointed out that if institutional investors' interest increases, the price of bitcoin may reach as high as $10,000. So far, the encryption industry may be approaching. At the same time, the US economy lost 10,000 jobs in the third quarter of 2008, which was 10,000 higher than the monthly data of non-agricultural jobs in the United States, which caused market participants to worry about the reliability of the data. The survey of job vacancies and labor mobility showed that the job vacancies in January fell to the lowest level since September, in which the job vacancies in the construction industry fell to a record high and the number of recruits fell to the lowest level since 2008. This shows that although there is a need to find and keep jobs, the employers' demand for labor is very low. In the commodity market, oil prices plummeted this morning, which shows that there may be uncertainty in future economic growth, which will have an impact on the demand for key commodities. In addition, the US manufacturing data has also aggravated economic concerns. Although the Fed decided to maintain the target interest rate at $10,000, the market is still unstable, but the Committee has only released a good surprise to the market. Rebound risky assets from the initial statement. The Federal Reserve announced that it will reduce the size of national debt in its balance sheet from $ billion to $ billion every month from January, which will support the rate of return in view of the increased demand for repurchasing expired securities. The Federal Reserve insists that interest rates will remain at a high level until there are obvious signs of moving towards its long-term inflation target. However, the economy is beginning to show signs of weakness. If the deterioration of demand continues to drag down prices, it is unknown whether the Fed can stimulate the economy out of recession once interest rate cuts begin, because historically interest rate cuts are often accompanied by the deterioration of economic conditions. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

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