牛市如何暴富?关于加密市场的6点思考

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作者:日月小楚,胡子观币成员 来源:X,@riyuexiaochu 

1 虽然牛市普涨,但炒作依然是以板块为核心。并且如果一个币暴涨,会带动其板块的炒作。

2 在牛市中到处都是机会,但是如果贪心处处想抓住,最后一定不会好。

相反,只要抓住一个板块的主升浪,足够让你赚的盆满钵满。如果运气好,抓住板块轮动抓住2波的主升浪,那就赚钱了无法想象的财富。

3 这轮牛市与以往不同的是,钱多人多专业的机构多。

所以交易策略上调整为:

1) 与其追逐热点,不如专注在好的项目/板块上深耕的收益会更高;

2)与专业的一批人抱团取暖;

3)大热项目的市值估值比较充分,非大热的板块可能会出现高倍率;

4 要分清牛逼和潜在收益的区别,非常牛逼的项目不一定让你赚钱,原因依然是市场会充分定价。也就是全民都看好的,并不一定会有非常大的涨幅。

我会挑选:

1)有市场一定认可但没有全民看好的,作为重点研究对象,所以潜在收益高,风险低;

2)市场热度低的板块,作为迷你仓彩票板块;

5 虽然全仓一个板块令人很爽,但是也可能错失整个牛市,从风险较大来说也不提倡。推荐使用集中+有限数量的方法。分重点几个,次重点。整体控制在一个数量上。

6 板块的炒作有3种情况:

1)确定性的大重大事件,比如上海升级导致LIDO、SSV的炒作, Arbitrum空投发币引发其生态项目的上涨;

2)突发性的事件。比如chatgpt的突然火爆引发了AI板块的爆发,同样Sora的发布也引发一波上涨,再比如21年下半年,元宇宙的火爆引发币圈GameFi的热潮;

3)某个币爆拉后,成为龙头,引起其板块项目的火热;

板块的炒作,大部分的时候是不确定,这也是牛市中要等风来的原因。因为无法确定炒作的时间。只有第一种的重大事件是比较确定的。但是它的缺点是,由于它的确定性比较强,所以你能参与的涨幅可能并不是很大。那是因为总有很多人会提前布局。最典型的就是今年的坎昆升级,arb、op的涨幅是落后其它币的。

以前牛市中,有两种策略:

第一种:全部资产重仓某些板块

需要做的就是牛市中等风来。优点是操作简单,所以适合大部分人以及日常工作比较忙的人。缺点是:需要拿得住。拿得住是要考验人性的。特别是当你看见到处都是暴富的币,自己的却原地踏步。

具体板块的数量我建议2~4个为宜,如果你想一个也可以,那需要比较考验个人的眼光。太多的话比较风险,也不是很建议。

第二种:一部分仓位潜伏,一部分仓位在板块炒作时候上仓位

优点是可进可退,比较灵活。但是缺点是需要对市场比较敏感,花经历比较多,要时刻专注市场。


Author Sun Moon Xiao Chu Beard View Coin Member Source Although the bull market is generally rising, the speculation is still centered on the plate, and if a coin skyrockets, it will drive the speculation of its plate. There are opportunities everywhere in the bull market, but if you are greedy, it will not be good if you want to catch the end. On the contrary, as long as you catch the main rising wave of a plate, you will earn a lot of money. If you are lucky, you will make money if you catch the main rising wave of the plate. The difference between this round of bull market and the past is that there are many people and many professional opportunities. Therefore, instead of chasing hot spots, the trading strategy should be adjusted to focus on good project sectors, and the income from deep ploughing will be higher. The market value of hot projects will be fully valued with a group of professional people. Non-hot projects may have high magnification. It is necessary to distinguish the difference between awesome and potential income. The reason why very awesome projects may not make you money is that the market will be fully priced, that is, the whole people will be optimistic about it, and there will not necessarily be a very large increase. I will choose projects with certain market recognition but not all of them. People are optimistic about it as the key research object, so the plate with high potential income, low risk and low market heat is used as the mini-warehouse lottery plate. Although one plate in the whole warehouse is very refreshing, it may also miss the whole bull market. From the perspective of greater risk, it is not recommended to use the method of concentrating a limited number of points, focusing on several sub-points, and controlling the whole plate in one quantity. There are some major events with certainty, such as the speculation caused by Shanghai's upgrading, airdropping money and the rise of its ecological projects. For example, the sudden popularity of events triggered the outbreak of the plate, and the same release also triggered a wave of rise. For example, in the second half of the year, the popularity of the meta-universe triggered the upsurge of the currency circle. After a certain currency exploded, it became a leader, causing the hype of the hot plate of its plate project. Most of the time, it was uncertain, which is also the reason why we had to wait for the wind to come in the bull market, because it was impossible to determine the time of the hype. Only the first major event was relatively certain, but its disadvantage was that because of its strong certainty, the increase you could participate in. The energy is not very great, because there are always many people who will lay out the layout in advance. The most typical one is that this year's Cancun upgrade is behind other currencies. There are two strategies in the previous bull market. The first one is that all assets are heavily stocked, and some sectors need to be done in the bull market. The advantage is that the operation is simple, so it is suitable for most people and people who are busy in their daily work. The disadvantage is that it is necessary to test human nature, especially when you see the rich coins everywhere, but the number of specific sectors is still standing still. I suggest an appropriate one. If you want one, you can also test your personal vision. If there are too many risks, it is not very recommended. The second one is that some positions are hidden and some positions are on the plate when speculating. The advantage of the position is that it is flexible to enter and retreat, but the disadvantage is that it needs to be more sensitive to the market, and you should always focus on the market. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

Author: Riyuexiaochu, member of the BeardCoin group Source: X, @riyuexiaochu

1. Although the bull market is booming, speculation still revolves around sectors. And if a coin skyrockets, it will drive speculation in its sector.

2. There are opportunities everywhere in a bull market, but being greedy and trying to catch them everywhere will not end well.

On the contrary, as long as you catch the main uptrend of a sector, it is enough to make you earn a lot of money. If you are lucky enough to capture two waves of the main uptrend of the sector rotation, then you will make an unimaginable fortune.

3. This bull market is different from the past in that there is more money, more people, and more professional institutions.

So the trading strategy is adjusted to:

1) Instead of chasing hotspots, focus on good projects/sectors will yield higher returns;

2) Form a group with professional people;

3) The market value evaluation of hot projects is relatively sufficient, and non-hot sectors may have high multiples;

4. It is important to distinguish between quality projects and potential returns. Extremely high-quality projects may not necessarily make you money, because the market is still fully valued. That is, just because everyone believes in it, it doesn't mean it will have a very large increase.

I will choose:

1) Projects that are recognized by the market but not universally endorsed, as the focus of research, so the potential returns are high and the risk is low;

2) Sectors with low market heat, as a mini-warehouse lottery sector;

5. Although going all in on a single sector is very satisfying, it may also cause you to miss the entire bull market, which is not recommended considering the higher risk. It is recommended to use a concentrated + limited quantity approach. Focus on a few key ones, then secondary ones. Keep the overall number at a certain level.

6. There are three situations in the speculation of sectors:

1) Deterministic major events, such as the Shanghai upgrade leading to the speculation of LIDO, SSV, the Arbitrum airdrop causing an increase in its ecological projects;

2) Sudden events. For example, the sudden popularity of chatgpt sparked the explosion of the AI sector, and the release of Sora also triggered a wave of increases, and in the second half of 21, the popularity of the metaverse sparked the hot trend of GameFi in the coin circle;

3) After a certain coin skyrockets, it becomes a leader, causing its sector projects to heat up;

Most of the time, sector speculation is uncertain, which is why you have to wait for the wind in a bull market. This is because it's impossible to determine when the speculation will occur. Only the first type of major event is relatively certain. However, the drawback is that, due to its strong certainty, the potential increase you can participate in may not be very large. That's because there are always many people who will layout in advance. The most typical example is this year's Cancun upgrade, and the increase in arb, op lagged behind other coins.

In previous bull markets, there were two strategies:

First: Heavy positions in certain sectors for all assets

What you need to do is wait for the wind in the bull market. The advantage is that the operation is simple, so it is suitable for most people and those who are too busy with their daily work. The downside is: you need to hold on. Holding on tests human nature. Especially when you see wealthy coins everywhere, while yours remain stagnant.

I recommend 2-4 specific sectors. If you want to focus on one, it will require a certain assessment of individual judgment. Having too many is more risky, and not very advisable.

Second: Some positions in hiding, and some positions when the sector is speculated

The advantage is that it is flexible, as you can enter and exit. But the downside is that it requires a more sensitive understanding of the market, more experience, and a constant focus on the market.

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