43亿美元天价罚款的背后 对Binance和CZ的制裁是利好还是利空

币圈资讯 阅读:40 2024-04-22 12:31:09 评论:0
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作者:Phyrex,币安广场创作者 来源:X(原推特)@Phyrex_Ni

超过1万枚BTC,将近10万枚ETH,4亿枚USDT,1.5亿枚USDC,以及价值22亿美元的ALT,这五个数据就是在最近24小时从Binance提现的数据,虽然到目前Binance仍然持有超过670亿美元的资产,但提现的浪潮还并没有结束,几乎每一分钟都还有资产从Binance中流失,几乎全网都在给CZ送别的时候,彭博社的头版头条一半给了哈马斯,一半给了CZ和Binance,如果把时间往前推,不知道还有多少小伙伴记得我在十月的时候重点说了众议院金融委员会对于加密货币成为恐怖主义融资的穷追猛打,上周甚至有57名议员联名要求拜登和耶伦在本月27日给出详细的加密货币对于恐怖活动的支持。

把时间拉回到现在,这次43亿美元的天价罚款中,金融犯罪执法网络(FinCEN)的和解金是34亿美元,外国资产控制办公室(OFAC)的和解金是9.68亿美元,其中支付给金融犯罪执法网络(FinCEN)的34亿美元中,有27亿美元是支付给商品期货交易委员会(CFTC),这27亿美元中13.5亿美元是向美国客户收取的交易费用,另外13.5亿美元时罚款,另外对CZ本人也作出了1.5亿美元暂缓罚款的处罚,这么来看的话Binance最大的问题应该是让美国客户参与交易了,毕竟这部分的罚款最高。

beiEKhjLYnmE9Lt0Cp6hKovoCoFBIEyK8Oz3B4df.png

但实际上从商务部也就是这次对Binance实际调查的最高机构给出的答案是既不是让美国人交易,也不是违反了证券法,这些事SEC的事情,顺便说一下,这次的和解是代表了Binance和包括财政部,司法部和商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)结束了长达多年的调查,但,这里并不包括美国证券交易委员会(SEC),这个问题我们等下再说。而是因为Binance违反保护美国国家安全和国际金融体系完整性的美国反洗钱(AML)和制裁法律的行为,说人话就是Binance没有严格控制在平台中交易者的成分,让包括哈马斯在内的被欧美定义的恐怖分子利用才是对美国来说最不能容忍的,而别的,仅仅是钱的问题。

IXIBzubxYo6ZwMdBqQKbQOMxoPjcV5kMgUlNCUr7.png

所以这次的报道中,不论是商务部,还是司法部对于Binance的定义都是因为没有很好的执行AML,甚至是商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)在实际的起诉中,提供了Binance的工作人员聊天中涉及到哈马斯用600美元不到就能买一把AK47的记录,这才是让Binance最头疼的,违反了AML和给恐怖主义提供资金是两种完全不同的性质,还好,这次耶伦给出的直接答案是Binance仅仅是没有严格执行AML,而且CZ也承认了反洗钱和违反美国制裁的指控,这才使得Binance其实是避免对最大的危机,甚至可以说从今天开始,Binance包括BinanceUS在内所面对的只剩下了钱的问题,而钱又是Binance最不担心的问题。

根据认罪协议,CZ最高10年的监禁会变成不超过18个月,目前CZ已经放弃了上诉,宣判将推迟6个月,在支付了1.75亿美元的保释金以后被释放,并可以随时往返阿联酋和美国,这个待遇BitMEX联合创始人兼前CEO的Arthur Hayes也经历过,当时Arthur Hayes是的判决是6个月的居家监禁以及缓行2年,从这个角度来看CZ大概率也是居家监禁。但这并不是重点,重点是从CEO退下来的Arthur Hayes仍然是BitMEX的联合创始人,虽然不担当BitMEX的工作,但可以以顾问的形式来“联合”处理BitMEX的事宜。

说到这里,可能有聪明的小伙伴已经想到了,确实CZ不在担当CEO了,确实CZ的自述中表示最近要休息一段时间,但这并不代表CZ就远离了Binance,虽然CZ并不在是CEO,但作为Binance联合创始人的何一却在这次的问题中没有受到任何的牵连,她和CZ的关系也不用我多说了,所以Binance变了吗?没有,本身CZ承担的角色更多的是决策者,而不是执行者,是不是CEO不重要,CEO也不过是给董事会打工的,而这次的案件并没有剥夺CZ董事的地位,美国也并没有向处理TikTok的方式来处理BinanceUS,甚至CZ可以继续在推特为Binance发言。

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从阶段性结论的角度来讲,是美国用了一个Binance无法无视的理由,让Binance作出最终的抉择,“要么你遵循我的规则,在我规则的框架下玩,要么你在哪里都别玩了”。这也是为什么我前边重点说的是Binance只是违反了AML,而不是给恐怖分子提供支持,这两个决定其实就是在一念之间,你听话了,就是前者,你不听话,就是后者,而选择前者罚款并不是目的,美国缺这43亿美元吗?美国缺的是这43亿美元背后全球最大的加密货币交易所是不是在自己的掌控之内,耶伦的话就是最好的定义,“这些协议的结果将是结束长期以来对美国金融体系、美国公民和美国国家安全构成风险的公司行为。”

至此Binance从一个对美国有“威胁”的风险公司黑名单中被释放,这不但意味着Binance仍然有机会运营BinanceUS,也意味着美国和欧洲的包括支付在内的渠道是可以为Binance再次服务的,这些对于Binance来说才是最重要的,之前我也多次说明,合规将是目前所有交易所想要更进一步所必需要面对的,一直处于美国多部门铁拳下的Binance已经不得不放弃很多的市场,而从今天开始,这些曾经被放弃的市场和机会都有重新开始的可能,而支付的也仅仅是一个季度的利润以及CZ名义上从CEO的职位上离开,所以Binance变了吗?确实变了,去除了最大枷锁后Binance的想象力会更好。

而BinanceUS在解决了SEC的问题以后,会更容易受到华尔街的青睐,距离上市的路也会更近一步。说到SEC就不得不提,SEC在昨天又起诉了Kraken,起诉的理由几乎和Coinbase是一摸一样的,前边我们也说了,这次在美国的和解中并不包括SEC在内,这也代表了SEC对于Binance的监管问题并不是“政治立场”的问题,甚至随着和CFTC的和解,Binance已经支付了对让美国客户交易的罚款和资金没收,所以SEC大概率不会在这个问题上继续纠结,那么SEC的目的还剩下的可能就是为了给加密货币的合规化铺平道路,而这条道路中的一个里程碑可能就是Bitcoin和Ethereum  的现货ETF。

当然已经摆脱了最大枷锁的Binance来说,和SEC的问题并不涉及到刑事,甚至应该说Binance和SEC之间已经没有官司了,有官司的是BinanceUS和CZ本人,那么结果无非就是要么像Coinbase和Kraken一样硬扛,要么就是是和解,这两种不论是哪一种,都只是钱的问题。从我个人的理解来看,后者的可能性会更大一些,毕竟Coinbase是美国的上市公司,Kraken也是欧美都合规的交易所,而BinanceUS  本质上是Binance为了在美国上市并且捆绑华尔街资金的重要布局,而横在BinanceUS和SEC中间最大的问题就是Binance本身和CZ本身,现在前者没事了,后者也认罚了。

那么只要BinanceUS选择和SEC和解,那么BinanceUS的上市之路就会通顺,当然这中间最关键的还是BinanceUS和SEC之间的和解条件。所以我们最终从上帝视角来看这个问题的时候,我们可以知道,整体是一件双赢的事情,美国去除了一个不受控制的金融风险,Binance去除了美国长达数年的长臂管辖以及所带来的附带伤害,所谓的天价罚款就是Binance“合规证”的第一步,而至于CZ,只是去掉了一个并不重要的称号,但却获得了自由出入美国的“身份”。也意味着Binance和CZ都可以在阳光下参与到美国政治和经济领域,反而我现在最想知道的是,是民主党还是共和党?必有其一。

成年人的世界更多考虑的是利益,不论是国家利益,企业利益还是私人利益,这次不论是不是Binance真的是哈马斯的融资渠道之一,这并不是最重要的,最重要的是这顶帽子只要扣下来,那么Binance所面对的就不再仅仅是经济利益上的“猫和老鼠”的游戏,而是上升到了国家安全程度,这也不是花钱就能搞定的事情,我们看到的,所披露的是43亿美元的“交易”,但在这之下却是Binance和CZ的生死一线,而结果是Binance和CZ用了“最不值钱”的代价完成了身份上的转换,昨天晚上Coinbase股价的瞬间冲高回落就是最好的证明。

jGar2jortI0FpcpWM25KJvWBaompVPZjSPLsGM8H.png

Binance的这次事件不但没有提升Coinbase的市值和市场潜力,反而让市场认识到摆脱了枷锁后的Binance一劳永逸的在美国有了和Coinbase叫板的资格,而这件事对于加密货币行业本身即是排雷,也是利好。最起码在可以预见的两三个周期内,只要Binance自己不作死,就会越走越顺。其实FTX和Sam已经给了最佳的流程,FTX主站野蛮发展,只要在美国的框架下和监管下怎么做都可以,而FTXUS则是美国本土的“吸金”利器。合规,捆绑华尔街,上市就是BinanceUS的康庄大道。


The creator of the author's Coin 'an Square comes from more than 10,000 original tweets, nearly 10,000 billion tweets and these five data worth hundreds of millions of dollars. Although the data of cash withdrawal still holds more than 100 million dollars, the wave of cash withdrawal has not ended. Almost every minute, assets are still lost from it. Almost the whole network is giving farewell. Half of the front page headlines of Bloomberg were given to Hamas, and if the time is pushed forward, I don't know how many friends still remember that I was in ten. Last month, it was emphasized that the Finance Committee of the House of Representatives pursued cryptocurrency as a terrorist financing. Last week, even a famous member of Parliament jointly asked Biden and Yellen to give detailed cryptocurrency support for terrorist activities on the day of this month, pulling the time back to the present. The settlement of the financial crime law enforcement network was $ billion, and the settlement of the Foreign Assets Control Office was $ billion, of which $ billion was paid to the financial crime law enforcement network. Of the $100 million paid to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, $100 million was the transaction fee charged to American customers, and another $100 million was fined. In this case, the biggest problem should be to let American customers participate in the transaction. After all, this part of the fine is the highest, but in fact, the answer given by the Ministry of Commerce, the highest institution in the actual investigation, is that it is neither to let Americans trade nor to violate the securities law. By the way, The second settlement represents the end of years of investigation with the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Justice and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, but this issue does not include the US Securities and Exchange Commission. We will talk about it later, but because of the violation of the US anti-money laundering and sanctions laws that protect the national security of the United States and the integrity of the international financial system. It is said that it is the most important thing for the United States to strictly control the composition of traders in the platform and let terrorists defined by Europe and the United States, including Hamas. What is intolerable is just a question of money, so the definition given by both the Ministry of Commerce and the Ministry of Justice in this report is because it is not well implemented. Even the staff chat provided by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in the actual prosecution involves the record that Hamas can buy one with less than US dollars. This is the most troublesome violation. And providing funds for terrorism are two completely different natures. Fortunately, the direct answer given by Yellen this time is that it is just not strict. Enforcement and admission of the charges of anti-money laundering and violation of US sanctions make it possible to avoid the problem of the biggest crisis, even including today, where money is the least worrying problem. According to the plea agreement, the maximum year of imprisonment will become no more than months. At present, the appeal judgment has been abandoned, and it will be postponed for months. After paying bail of 100 million US dollars, it can be released and can travel to and from the United Arab Emirates and the United States at any time. Experienced the judgment at that time, it was a month's home imprisonment and a deferred year. From this point of view, it is probably also a home imprisonment, but this is not the point. The point is that the retired co-founders can still handle matters in the form of consultants, although they don't take on the work. Speaking of this, there may be smart friends who have thought that they are really not taking on the responsibility, but it does not mean that they are far away from being a co-founder although they are not. What happened to the founder has not been implicated in this issue, and I don't need to say more about her relationship, so has it changed? Has it not played a more important role as a decision-maker than an executor? Is it not important or just working for the board of directors? This case has not deprived the director of his position, and the United States has not dealt with it in a way that can even continue to speak on Twitter. From the perspective of phased conclusions, the United States has used a reason that cannot be ignored to make the final decision. Either you follow my rules and play under the framework of my rules, or you don't play anywhere, which is why what I emphasized earlier is that you just violated rather than provided support to terrorists. These two decisions are actually in a moment, that is, you obeyed the former, and you disobeyed the latter, and chose the former. The fine is not the purpose. Is the United States short of this billion dollars? What the United States lacks is whether the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange behind this billion dollars is under its control. The result of these agreements will be to end the long-standing corporate behavior that poses risks to the American financial system, American citizens and American national security, and thus be released from the blacklist of risky companies that pose a threat to the United States. This not only means that there is still a chance to operate, but also means that channels in the United States and Europe, including payment, can serve again. These are the most important things for me. Before I said many times, compliance will be necessary for all exchanges to go further. What we have to face has been under the iron fist of many departments in the United States, and we have to give up a lot of markets. From today on, these abandoned markets and opportunities are likely to start again, and what we have paid is only a quarter's profit and nominal departure from our posts. So has it changed? It has really changed. After removing the biggest shackles, our imagination will be better, and after solving the problems, we will be more likely to be favored by Wall Street, and the road to listing will be closer. Yesterday, we sued again for almost exactly the same reasons as before. We also said that this time it was not included in the settlement in the United States. This also means that the regulatory issue is not a question of political stance. Even with the settlement, we have paid fines and confiscation of funds for trading with American customers, so there is a high probability that we will not continue to struggle with this issue. The remaining purpose may be to pave the way for the compliance of cryptocurrency, and a milestone in this road can be achieved. Of course, the spot of "energy is harmony" has got rid of the biggest shackles. Generally speaking, there is no criminal matter, or even there is no lawsuit between them. If there is a lawsuit against me, the result is nothing more than either hard-shouldering like harmony or reconciliation. From my personal understanding, the latter is more likely. After all, it is a listed company in the United States and an exchange that complies with the regulations in Europe and America. In essence, it is to be listed in the United States and bind up the important layout of Wall Street funds. The biggest problem is itself. Now the former is fine, and the latter is fine. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

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