一文读懂暴雷前兆

币圈资讯 阅读:44 2024-04-22 10:15:58 评论:0
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隔夜BTC骤然反弹一度攻至42k上方。具体情况在内参里有讲,此处不再赘述。下面我们要说一说的,是某个CEX平台(不点名了,避免反而为其做了广告)无底线的推广帖。

这个某字头的CEX平台(不是大家最熟知的那个某哈)经一些加密圈的大V和营销号,发出了一些断章取义、移花接木暗戳戳地黑某o记平台的稿子,炮制耸人听闻的标题,称该平台要“逐步关闭服务”,“停止新用户注册”云云。

点开一看,文不对题倒在其次,最后赫然“建议”用户“把资金放在更安全的”某某平台里面,而后一通吹嘘其安全性,以及各种福利等等。

这种下三滥的路数,让人反不反胃并不是最要紧的,最要紧的是,一个托管大量用户资产的平台,应该是严肃而谨慎的,居然出此下策,用拙劣的手法攻击竞争对手,以及赤裸裸地引导用户向它自家平台转移资产,这就是很反常而近乎妖的情况了。

说句和他们的烂稿子一般耸人听闻的话,倒不是某o记要倒闭,而是它这个某平台要不要暴雷吧?

2022年FTX暴雷殷鉴不远。2023年国内许多所谓的财富平台纷纷暴雷,一夜之间收割了多少高净值中产。

当一个平台因为经营不善,内控不严,甚至监守自盗而陷入亏空后,平台就进入了庞氏运行的生命倒计时阶段。此时的平台,有一个是一个,都不会选择主动披露实情,相反地,它们都会进一步加紧推出各种理财产品,或者高息福利,或者大肆推广招揽储户,以求吸收更多新鲜血液、新鲜资金投入其中,以此延缓暴雷死亡的时间。

但是说实话,一般而言,进入这个阶段,就像癌症晚期了,癌组织越是拼命攫取营养,整个生命系统死得越快。可是这帮平台的控制人、管理者乃至所有人,都进入了这样的癌症模式而不能自拔,坑蒙拐骗无所不用其极,最后就进入到了“能骗一个是一个”的闭眼狂奔。

因此每当我们看到此种反常无底线的事情,就要高度警惕起来,逆向思考一下,攻击竞争对手,为自己吸收资金,这是为什么?这是不是反而说明,它可能对资金特别特别饥渴,已经快要渴死了?

此时,作为一个普通的散户,能做的最重要也是最紧急的事情,就是和它拼命诱导你做的恰恰相反,抓紧把所有资产都从这个疑似高危的平台全部提出来,无论它推出什么诱人的福利,都千万不要再轻易使用和充值这个平台了!

孔子说,君子不立危墙之下。不是说危墙一定马上要倒,或者倒了必然会砸到你。而是说,永远不要让自己处于可能被危墙砸到的境地。毕竟墨菲定律说得好,如果一件事可能出错,那么它一定会出错。

FTX暴雷之前,其实有那么两三天的逃生窗口期。笔者身边一听到风吹草动立刻抓紧全额提币的朋友,全身而退。而心存侥幸,还想再观察观察,等上一等的,就被埋在里面了。

提币,成本很低,却能规避较大的潜在风险,属于低成本高收益的事情。不提币,成本节省不多,却冒着损失资产的巨大风险,属于高成本低收益的事情。如何抉择,本不应该是个问题。却总是有心思和眼睛被蒙蔽的傻子,会上当。

其实早在去年9月份,教链内参9.27《美元最大的梦魇》中,就注意并提及到了这个平台。当时,它在很多业内垂直媒体上疯狂推广自家的各种理财产品。其中甚至有BTC本位APR 14%的产品,着实是把笔者给震惊了。

教链当时就在内参里这样评论道:「和短期快进快出做T啥的赚快钱不同,做短线可以赚了就提币,停留风险并不大。但是理财需要把资产长期锁定,CEX平台自身的结构性风险就会非常致命。」

现在看起来,半年多来,它的问题可能不但没有得到缓解,反而有些更加病入膏肓了。

还是那句话,不是说有前兆一定立刻暴雷。而是你没必要把自己的血汗钱放在一个有潜在暴雷风险的地方不是?

敬畏市场。市场处处都是看不见的地雷。市场有一万种方法能把你辛辛苦苦五年、十年的投资连收益带本金生吞活剥。

尤其是在这个四处不成熟的加密市场,首先不是赚多赚少的收益问题,而是不要损失资金的安全问题。

小心,驶得万年船。切记切记。


Overnight, the sudden rebound once attacked the top. The specific situation is described in the internal reference. I won't go into details here. What we want to talk about below is that a platform has not named it, but has advertised a bottomless promotion post for it. This platform with a prefix is not the one you know best. Some Yamato marketing numbers in some encryption circles have sent out some out-of-context and secretly poked the manuscript of a certain platform. The sensational title is that the platform will gradually close its service and stop registering new users. At first glance, the article is beside the point. Finally, it is impressively suggested that users put their funds in a safer platform, and then brag about its security and various benefits. This kind of shoddy way is not the most important thing. The most important thing is that a platform hosting a large number of user assets should be serious and cautious, so it is very abnormal and almost demon to attack competitors with clumsy methods and guide users to transfer assets to its own platform. As sensational as their bad manuscripts, it's not that a certain story is going to close down, but that a certain platform should be thundered. In recent years, many so-called wealth platforms in China have thundered overnight. How many high-net-worth middle-class products have been harvested? When a platform falls into deficit due to poor management, lax internal control and even self-stealing, it enters the life countdown stage of Ponzi's operation. At this time, one of the platforms will not choose to disclose the truth voluntarily, on the contrary, they will all enter. Step by step, step up the launch of various wealth management products or high-interest benefits, or vigorously promote and attract depositors to absorb more fresh blood and fresh funds to invest in them, so as to delay the time of thunderstorm death. But to be honest, generally speaking, entering this stage is like the terminal stage of cancer, and the more cancer tissues desperately grab nutrition, the faster the whole life system will die. However, the controllers, managers and even everyone of these platforms have entered such a cancer model, and they can't extricate themselves and cheat, and they will do everything they can to finally enter. So whenever we see this abnormal bottomless thing, we should be highly vigilant and think about attacking competitors to absorb funds for ourselves. Why is this? Does this mean that it may be particularly hungry for funds and is dying of thirst? At this time, the most important and urgent thing that an ordinary retail investor can do is just the opposite of what it desperately induces you to do. Put all assets out of this suspected high-risk platform. In the future, no matter what attractive benefits it introduces, don't use and recharge this platform easily. Confucius said that a gentleman doesn't stand under a dangerous wall. It doesn't mean that the dangerous wall must fall down immediately or fall down, but that he should never put himself in a situation where it may be hit by a dangerous wall. After all, Murphy's law says well, if something may go wrong, it will go wrong. In fact, there is a two-or three-day escape window before the storm. As soon as I hear the trouble, I will pay close attention to my friends who withdraw the money in full. Leave with luck and want to observe again. The first-class ones are buried in it. It is a low-cost and high-yield thing to withdraw money, but it can avoid greater potential risks. It is a high-cost and low-yield thing to save little money, but it is a huge risk of losing assets. How to choose a thing that should not be a problem, but a fool who is always blinded by his mind and eyes will be fooled. In fact, he noticed and mentioned this platform as early as last month in the biggest nightmare of participating in the teaching chain. At that time, it madly promoted its own various wealth management products in many vertical media in the industry, and even the standard products really shocked the author. At that time, the teaching chain commented in the internal reference that it is different from making quick money in short-term fast-forward and fast-out. If you make short-term money, you will withdraw money and stay at risk. However, the structural risk of financial management needs to lock assets in the platform for a long time will be very fatal. Now it seems that its problems may not be alleviated but some will become more ill in the past six months. Once again, it doesn't mean that there will be a sudden thunderstorm if there are signs, but that you don't need to put your hard-earned money in a place with potential thunderstorm risk. It's not that you are afraid of the market. There are 10,000 ways to eat up your hard-earned investment for five years and ten years, especially in this immature encryption market. First of all, it's not about earning more and earning less, but about the safety of not losing money. Remember to remember carefully to sail for ten thousand years. 比特币今日价格行情网_okx交易所app_永续合约_比特币怎么买卖交易_虚拟币交易所平台

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