如何看待DFS、IRIS等币圈“热门项目”？

这两天，又出现了两个小热点，一个是EOS上的DeFi类项目DFS，另一个是跨链项目IRIS。

Two small hot spots emerged in the two days, one for the DEFI class project on EOS, DFS, and the other for the cross-link project IRIS.

DFS是EOS上的一个DeFi项目，圈内俗称大丰收。项目本身在技术以及模式上并没有太多的看点，但采用了很火的交易挖矿模式。这个模式最近很吸引人，所以DFS一上线便很是火了几天，但突然在7月22日被官方宣布暂停交易挖矿。原因据说是圈内很多玩家薅羊毛的本事太强导致项目方无法继续下去。

DFS is a DeFi project on EOS, commonly known as the big harvest. The project itself does not have much of a look at technology and patterns, but uses a very exciting trade-mining model. This model has been attractive lately, so DFS has been on the line for several days, but was suddenly officially suspended on July 22, because many players in the ring are said to be too proficient for the project to continue.

有不少玩家晒出了自己的收益：高的一天收益能有10来万，一般一天赚几万的也不少。但也不是人人都那么幸运，有人欢喜就有人忧。一批在高位接盘的玩家还没来得及享受期待中的红利突然间就套住了。

There are a lot of players who make their own gains: a high one-day gain of 100,000 and usually tens of thousands a day. But not everyone is so lucky that some people are happy and others are worried. A group of players who are in high places are suddenly caught up before they can enjoy the expected dividends.

IRIS是跨链领域的一个老面孔，说老是因为它在去年四月就上市了，上线后价格一度猛冲到0.15美元，然后便进入了跌跌不休的熊市状态，长期徘徊在0.03美元以下，比高峰期跌去了80%。

IRIS was an old face in the cross-chain area, saying it had been on the market since April last year, when prices jumped to US$ 0.15, and then entered the state of the bear market, which was falling and falling for a long period of time below US$ 0.03, down 80 per cent from the peak period.

Gate.io “天天理财”第十三期USDT锁仓理财中午12点开启:据官方公告，Gate.io“天天理财”第十三期USDT锁仓理财将于今日中午12点开启，理财周期7天。两大专区含各大主流币种与热门币种理财项目，详情见原文链接。[2020/10/24]

Gate.io The thirteenth phase of USDT lockdown finance was opened at 12 noon: according to the official announcement, the thirteenth phase of USDT lockdown finance in Gate.io will open today at 12 p.m. for seven days of the financial cycle. The two main areas include major currencies and popular currency finance projects, which are linked to the original text. [2020/10/24]

项目最近的大火是由一则消息引起的：7月22日，国际版的区块链服务网络（BSN）宣布已经将其数据中心与六大去中心化区块链（Nervos、Tezos、NEO、IRISnet、Ethereum 和 EOS）整合在一起。这些公链上的开发人员可以使用 BSN 提供的数据存储、带宽和其他资源运行节点和应用。

The latest fire in the project was caused by a message: on 22 July, the international version of the Block Chain Services Network (BSN) announced that it had integrated its data centre with the six major decentralized block chains (Nervos, Tezos, NEO, IRISnet, Etheeum, and EOS).

新闻中提到的IRISnet就是IRIS。

IRISnet is mentioned in the news as IRIS.

消息一出，IRIS的币价立刻就暴涨，截至写稿时为止，已经涨到0.068美元，是消息出笼前价格0.031美元的2倍还多。

As soon as the news came out, IRIS’s currency price rose sharply and, as of the time of writing, had risen to $0.068, more than twice the price of $0.031 before the news came out.

这样的暴涨也是在网上引起了热议和讨论。

This surge has also generated much discussion and discussion online.

这两个项目虽然都是近期爆红的项目，但两者还是有一定区别的。

Although both projects are recent, there is a certain difference between them.

第一个项目明显它的模式就是很难长期持续下去的，因此这类项目注定就是靠玩法吸引人气和流量，是短线，玩的就是快进快出，看看后面还有没有人接盘。

The model of the first project is clearly difficult to sustain in the long term, so such projects are destined to attract people and flows by playing, short lines, fast in and out, and see if there is anyone else on the back.

对这样的项目唯一重要的是早掌握信息早参与，只要后面还能找到接盘的玩家，那早期的参与者就能获利。实际上这和圈内大多数的投机没有太大的区别。它的风险就是没人知道后面还有没有人接盘，如果没有，自己就是站在山顶的接盘侠了。

The only thing that matters for a project like this is early information and early participation, so long as you can find the player behind you. In fact, this is not so much different from most speculation in the circle. The risk is that no one knows there is a handler behind it, or, if it is not, a handler at the top of the mountain.

第二个项目算是老树发新芽。纯粹从其上线以来的币价表现和项目基本面来说，并没有特别大的变化，只是由于这则利好新闻的影响一下拉抬了币价。至于这个效应能否持久，我是比较怀疑的，只能说有待进一步观察。

There have been no major changes in the price performance and the basics of the project, purely because of the influence of good news, but because the price has been raised a little bit. I am more sceptical about the sustainability of this effect, and I can only say that it remains to be seen further.

因此对这样的爆红项目，我们一定要看它爆红的原因。

So we're gonna have to look at the reason it's going to go red.

如果它的爆红是因为模式，而这个模式又是无法长期维系的，那它再吸引人我也不会参与，因为我没有能力知道自己后面还会不会有接盘侠。没有接盘侠，我可能会深套，永无翻身的机会。第一个项目就是如此。

If it's red because of a pattern that can't be sustained in the long term, then I won't get involved because I don't have the ability to know if there's gonna be a handler behind me. Without a handler, I'll probably be deep and never get a chance to turn around. That's the first project.

如果它的爆红是因为短期利好的刺激，而这种短期利好又无法转换为长期动力，我也不会看好，因为没有内在动力，币价长期看终归会回复平静。第二个项目目前看也是如此，至少我看不出短期内IRIS会因此发生什么质变。对这样的项目我也不会投资，如果我有仓位反而会在这类消息出笼、币价暴涨后卖掉一部分。

If it turns red because of short-term profit incentives, which cannot be converted into long-term incentives, I will not look good, because without built-in power, currency prices will return to calm in the long run. The second project, too, now, at least I don’t see what will happen to IRIS in the short term. I will not invest in projects like this, and if I had a warehouse, I would sell a portion of it when the news comes out and the currency prices soar.

如果它的爆红是由于基本面发生了重大变化导致未来的发展空间极大提升，那这时可能反而是牛市初期，是值得上车试试的。

If its red light is the result of major changes in the fundamentals that have led to a significant increase in the development space in the future, then it may be the early days of the cattle market, and it is worth trying to get in the car.

这些项目中尽管有些是不可持续的，但有些投资者或许会看到从这些项目中某某挣到了多少钱羡慕不已，但在我看来他人的经验未必适合自己，我们投资还是要按自己的思路，找到适合自己的方式，而不要被太多噪音所干扰。

While some of these projects are not sustainable, some investors may see how much money one of them earns, but it seems to me that other people's experience is not necessarily appropriate for themselves, and that we invest in our own way and find our own way, rather than being disturbed by too much noise.

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